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IPBL
IPBL International
15.07.2026 19:15 MSK Match prediction
15.07.2026 19:15 MSK
Finished

IPBL

Dogs - Kemels

International Basketball
Dogs
Dogs
132 : 122
Finished
Kemels
Kemels
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Dogs — 51%

1 · Dogs51.2%
2 · Kemels48.8%

Model estimate: win Dogs 51.2%, win Kemels 48.8%. Model favourite — Dogs.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Dogs - Kemels 15 июля 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Dogs.

Line favourite Fonbet: Dogs. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.03 / 2 9.00
  • Glicko: Dogs 51.2% / Kemels 48.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 89.7%
2 10.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Победитель П1 1.52 ↓ 1.03
Победитель П2 2.35 ↑ 9.00

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 15.07.2026 19:15 MSK
Form 6 matches
H2H 3
Match center

Dogs - Kemels

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников и 3 очных встреч.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview
More needed
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 132:122
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Dogs 89.7% 51.2% market and model agree
Kemels 10.3% 48.8%
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 51.2% / 48.8% probabilities
Rating 1,436 / 1,479 Dogs / Kemels
RD 81 / 84 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,274-1,598 / 1,311-1,648 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 9.00 Fonbet · weak value +339.2% · model 48.8%
1 1.03 Fonbet · no value · model 51.2%
Total
Over 226.5 1.77 Fonbet · line only
Over 227.5 1.76 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
П2 -1.5 1.90 52.6%
П2 -10.5 1.93 51.8%
П2 -11.5 1.67 59.9%
П2 -12.5 1.60 62.5%
П2 -13.5 2.10 47.6%
П2 -14.5 1.83 54.6%
П2 -15.5 1.63 61.4%
П2 -16.5 1.72 58.1%
П2 -17.5 1.93 51.8%
П2 -18.5 1.85 54.1%
П2 -19.5 1.77 56.5%
П2 -2.5 1.83 54.6%
П2 -3.5 1.75 57.1%
П2 -4.5 1.90 52.6%
П2 -5.5 1.83 54.6%
П2 -6.5 2.00 50.0%
П2 -7.5 1.85 54.1%
П2 -8.5 1.72 58.1%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
ТБ 226.5 1.77 56.5%
ТБ 227.5 1.76 56.8%
ТБ 228.5 1.77 56.5%
ТБ 229.5 1.85 54.1%
ТБ 230.5 1.93 51.8%
ТБ 231.5 1.85 54.1%
ТБ 232.5 1.77 56.5%
ТБ 233.5 1.85 54.1%
ТБ 234.5 1.93 51.8%
ТБ 237.5 1.77 56.5%
ТБ 238.5 1.85 54.1%
ТБ 239.5 1.93 51.8%
ТБ 243.5 1.62 61.7%
ТБ 244.5 1.70 58.8%
ТБ 245.5 1.95 51.3%
ТБ 246.5 1.72 58.1%
ТБ 247.5 1.93 51.8%
ТБ 248.5 2.20 45.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
П1 1.03 97.1%
П2 9.00 11.1%
Match center
Dogs
L L L L L
14.07 15:30 МСК IPBL
Dogs 131:135 Kats
13.07 21:45 МСК IPBL
Dogs 104:115 Vulvz
13.07 19:15 МСК IPBL
Dogs 93:110 Kemels
10.07 21:45 МСК IPBL
Dogs 124:125 Vulvz
10.07 15:30 МСК IPBL
Dogs 112:128 Kats
0 Wins
5 Losses
112.8 Scored
122.6 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Kemels
L L W W W
15.07 16:45 МСК IPBL
Kemels 105:127 Vulvz
13.07 20:30 МСК IPBL
Kemels 105:115 Kats
13.07 19:15 МСК IPBL
Kemels 110:93 Dogs
13.07 16:45 МСК IPBL
Kemels 118:111 Vulvz
10.07 16:45 МСК IPBL
Kemels 121:118 Vulvz
3 Wins
2 Losses
111.8 Scored
112.8 Conceded
60% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyDogs - Kemels

Dogs
3 matches total
Kemels
Dogs: 2 (66.7%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Kemels: 1 (33.3%)
Biggest win Kemels 93:110 (13.07 19:15 МСК) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 227 goals (114:113, 07.07 19:15 МСК) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

13.07 19:15 МСК IPBL
Dogs
93:110
Kemels
09.07 19:15 МСК IPBL
Dogs
106:101
Kemels
07.07 19:15 МСК IPBL
Dogs
114:113
Kemels