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IPBL
IPBL International
16.07.2026 12:00 UTC Match prediction
16.07.2026 12:00 UTC
Finished

IPBL

Ekaterinburg (w) - Khimki (w)

International Basketball
Ekaterinburg (w)
Ekaterinburg (w)
91 : 88
Finished
Khimki (w)
Khimki (w)
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Ekaterinburg (w) — 61%

1 · Ekaterinburg (w) ✓ Прогноз61.4%
market39%
2 · Khimki (w)38.6%
market61%

Model estimate: win Ekaterinburg (w) 61.4%, win Khimki (w) 38.6%. Model favourite — Ekaterinburg (w).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Ekaterinburg (w) - Khimki (w) 16 июля 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Khimki (w).

Line favourite Fonbet: Khimki (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.35 / 2 1.52
  • Glicko: Ekaterinburg (w) 61.4% / Khimki (w) 38.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.3%
1 ✓ Прогноз 39.3%
2 60.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Победитель П1 1.80 → 1.80
Победитель П2 1.90 → 1.90

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 16.07.2026 12:00 UTC
Form 6 matches
H2H 2
Match center

Ekaterinburg (w) - Khimki (w)

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 2 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview
More needed
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 91:88
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Ekaterinburg (w) 51.4% 61.4% market and model agree
Khimki (w) 48.7% 38.6%
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 61.4% / 38.6% probabilities
Rating 1,828 / 1,498 Ekaterinburg (w) / Khimki (w)
RD 181 / 173 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,466-2,190 / 1,152-1,843 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.52 Fonbet · no value · model 38.6%
1 2.35 Fonbet · value +44.3% · model 61.4%
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.40 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 2.40 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 181.5 1.52 Fonbet · line only
Over 182.5 1.62 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
П2 -0.5 2.40 41.7%
П2 -1.5 2.03 49.3%
П2 -10.5 1.52 65.8%
П2 -11.5 1.95 51.3%
П2 -12.5 1.80 55.6%
П2 -13.5 1.67 59.9%
П2 -14.5 1.55 64.5%
П2 -15.5 1.83 54.6%
П2 -16.5 1.72 58.1%
П2 -17.5 1.62 61.7%
П2 -2.5 1.76 56.8%
П2 -3.5 1.57 63.7%
П2 -4.5 1.68 59.5%
П2 -5.5 1.55 64.5%
П2 -6.5 1.75 57.1%
П2 -7.5 1.60 62.5%
П2 -8.5 1.76 56.8%
П2 -9.5 1.62 61.7%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
ТБ 181.5 1.52 65.8%
ТБ 182.5 1.62 61.7%
ТБ 183.5 1.43 69.9%
ТБ 184.5 1.55 64.5%
ТБ 185.5 1.48 67.6%
ТБ 186.5 1.63 61.4%
ТБ 187.5 1.85 54.1%
ТБ 188.5 2.07 48.3%
ТБ 189.5 2.40 41.7%
ТБ 190.5 2.70 37.0%
ТБ 191.5 2.35 42.6%
ТБ 192.5 2.23 44.8%
ТБ 193.5 2.13 47.0%
ТБ 194.5 1.83 54.6%
ТБ 195.5 1.93 51.8%
ТБ 196.5 2.03 49.3%
ТБ 197.5 2.15 46.5%
ТМ 181.5 2.35 42.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
П1 2.35 42.6%
П2 1.52 65.8%
Match center
Ekaterinburg (w)
W W W W L
16.07 09:00 UTC IPBL
Ekaterinburg (w) 76:71 Tolyatti (zh)
12.07 13:05 UTC IPBL
Ekaterinburg (w) 82:77 Berezniki (zh)
12.07 12:00 UTC IPBL
Ekaterinburg (w) 86:77 Khimki (zh)Khimki (zh)
12.07 09:00 UTC IPBL
Ekaterinburg (w) 89:79 Tolyatti (zh)
09.07 13:05 UTC IPBL
Ekaterinburg (w) 87:90 Berezniki (zh)
4 Wins
1 Losses
84.0 Scored
78.8 Conceded
80% Win percentage
Khimki (w)
L W L L W
16.07 10:00 UTC IPBL
Khimki (w) 80:82 Berezniki (zh)
12.07 14:00 UTC IPBL
Khimki (w) 107:105 Tolyatti (zh)
12.07 12:00 UTC IPBL
Khimki (w) 77:86 Ekaterinburg (zh)Ekaterinburg (zh)
12.07 10:00 UTC IPBL
Khimki (w) 83:98 Berezniki (zh)
09.07 14:00 UTC IPBL
Khimki (w) 105:102 Tolyatti (zh)
2 Wins
3 Losses
90.4 Scored
94.6 Conceded
40% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyEkaterinburg (w) - Khimki (w)

Ekaterinburg (w)
2 matches total
Khimki (w)
Ekaterinburg (w): 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Khimki (w): 2 (100%)
Biggest win Khimki (zh) 88:102 (09.07 12:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 190 goals (88:102, 09.07 12:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

12.07 12:00 UTC IPBL
Ekaterinburg (zh)
86:77
Khimki (zh)
09.07 12:00 UTC IPBL
Ekaterinburg (zh)
88:102
Khimki (zh)