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IPBL
IPBL International
13.07.2026 04:10 MSK Match prediction
13.07.2026 04:10 MSK
Finished

IPBL

Irkutsk - Kemerovo

International Basketball
Irkutsk
Irkutsk
125 : 117
Finished
Kemerovo
Kemerovo
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Kemerovo — 52%

1 · Irkutsk47.7%
2 · Kemerovo52.3%

Model estimate: win Irkutsk 47.7%, win Kemerovo 52.3%. Model favourite — Kemerovo.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Irkutsk - Kemerovo 13 июля 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Kemerovo.

Line favourite Fonbet: Kemerovo. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 5.10 / 2 1.13
  • Glicko: Irkutsk 47.7% / Kemerovo 52.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1%
1 18.1%
2 81.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Победитель П1 2.50 ↑ 5.10
Победитель П2 1.47 ↓ 1.13

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 13.07.2026 07:10 MSK
Form 6 matches
H2H 3
Match center

Irkutsk - Kemerovo

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников и 3 очных встреч.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview
More needed
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 125:117
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Irkutsk 18.1% 47.7%
Kemerovo 81.9% 52.3% market and model agree
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 47.7% / 52.3% probabilities
Rating 1,505 / 1,611 Irkutsk / Kemerovo
RD 74 / 70 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,358-1,652 / 1,471-1,750 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.13 Fonbet · no value · model 52.3%
1 5.10 Fonbet · weak value +143.5% · model 47.7%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.87 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.87 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.83 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.83 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 180.5 1.62 Fonbet · line only
Over 181.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
П2 +0.5 1.87 53.5%
П2 +1.5 2.20 45.5%
П2 +2.5 2.23 44.8%
П2 +3.5 2.20 45.5%
П2 +4.5 1.75 57.1%
П2 -0.5 1.87 53.5%
П2 -1.5 1.94 51.6%
П2 -10.5 1.62 61.7%
П2 -11.5 1.72 58.1%
П2 -12.5 1.62 61.7%
П2 -2.5 1.72 58.1%
П2 -3.5 1.55 64.5%
П2 -4.5 1.76 56.8%
П2 -5.5 1.60 62.5%
П2 -6.5 1.46 68.5%
П2 -7.5 1.68 59.5%
П2 -8.5 1.58 63.3%
П2 -9.5 1.70 58.8%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
ТБ 180.5 1.62 61.7%
ТБ 181.5 1.70 58.8%
ТБ 182.5 1.58 63.3%
ТБ 183.5 1.60 62.5%
ТБ 184.5 1.70 58.8%
ТБ 185.5 1.80 55.6%
ТБ 186.5 1.90 52.6%
ТБ 187.5 2.03 49.3%
ТБ 188.5 2.20 45.5%
ТБ 189.5 1.43 69.9%
ТБ 190.5 1.55 64.5%
ТБ 191.5 1.72 58.1%
ТБ 192.5 1.90 52.6%
ТБ 193.5 2.13 47.0%
ТБ 194.5 1.68 59.5%
ТБ 195.5 1.90 52.6%
ТБ 196.5 2.15 46.5%
ТБ 197.5 2.40 41.7%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
П1 5.10 19.6%
П2 1.13 88.5%
Match center
Irkutsk
L W W W L
10.07 05:10 UTC IPBL
Irkutsk 108:113 Asbest
10.07 04:10 UTC IPBL
Irkutsk 116:106 Kemerovo
09.07 08:10 UTC IPBL
Irkutsk 105:89 Essentuki
08.07 05:10 UTC IPBL
Irkutsk 103:102 Asbest
08.07 04:10 UTC IPBL
Irkutsk 114:120 Kemerovo
3 Wins
2 Losses
109.2 Scored
106.0 Conceded
60% Win percentage
Kemerovo
L L W L W
10.07 06:10 UTC IPBL
Kemerovo 129:132 Essentuki
10.07 04:10 UTC IPBL
Kemerovo 106:116 Irkutsk
09.07 07:10 UTC IPBL
Kemerovo 109:104 Asbest
08.07 06:10 UTC IPBL
Kemerovo 114:118 Essentuki
08.07 04:10 UTC IPBL
Kemerovo 120:114 Irkutsk
2 Wins
3 Losses
115.6 Scored
116.8 Conceded
40% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyIrkutsk - Kemerovo

Irkutsk
2 matches total
Kemerovo
Irkutsk: 1 (50%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Kemerovo: 1 (50%)
Biggest win Irkutsk 116:106 (10.07 04:10 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 234 goals (114:120, 08.07 04:10 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

10.07 04:10 UTC IPBL
Irkutsk
116:106
Kemerovo
08.07 04:10 UTC IPBL
Irkutsk
114:120
Kemerovo