IPBL
IPBL International
12.07.2026 19:00 MSK
Finished

IPBL

Kaliningrad - Moscow

International Basketball
Kaliningrad
Kaliningrad
81 : 100
Finished
Moscow
Moscow

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Kaliningrad - Moscow 12 июля 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Moscow. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 6.80 / 2 1.07

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 13.6%
2 86.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 12.07.2026 19:00 MSK
Match center

Kaliningrad - Moscow

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.07 Fonbet · line only
1 6.80 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 2.10 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 2.10 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 168.5 1.63 Fonbet · line only
Over 169.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
П2 +0.5 1.65 60.6%
П2 +1.5 1.80 55.6%
П2 +10.5 1.94 51.6%
П2 +11.5 2.20 45.5%
П2 +12.5 2.55 39.2%
П2 +13.5 1.95 51.3%
П2 +14.5 2.20 45.5%
П2 +15.5 2.13 47.0%
П2 +16.5 2.25 44.4%
П2 -0.5 1.65 60.6%
П2 -1.5 2.30 43.5%
П2 -2.5 2.10 47.6%
П2 -3.5 1.93 51.8%
П2 -4.5 1.77 56.5%
П2 -5.5 1.63 61.4%
П2 -6.5 1.85 54.1%
П2 -7.5 1.72 58.1%
П2 -8.5 1.60 62.5%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
ТБ 168.5 1.63 61.4%
ТБ 169.5 1.60 62.5%
ТБ 170.5 1.70 58.8%
ТБ 171.5 1.62 61.7%
ТБ 172.5 1.72 58.1%
ТБ 173.5 1.83 54.6%
ТБ 174.5 1.50 66.7%
ТБ 175.5 1.62 61.7%
ТБ 176.5 1.50 66.7%
ТБ 177.5 1.62 61.7%
ТБ 178.5 1.75 57.1%
ТБ 179.5 1.67 59.9%
ТБ 180.5 1.75 57.1%
ТБ 181.5 1.83 54.6%
ТБ 182.5 1.90 52.6%
ТБ 183.5 2.00 50.0%
ТБ 184.5 1.46 68.5%
ТБ 185.5 1.77 56.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
П1 6.80 14.7%
П2 1.07 93.5%
Match center
Kaliningrad
L L W W W
10.07 23:00 МСК IPBL
Kaliningrad 75:89 Plavsk
10.07 21:00 МСК IPBL
Kaliningrad 92:106 Voronezh
10.07 19:00 МСК IPBL
Kaliningrad 93:88 Moskva
08.07 23:00 МСК IPBL
Kaliningrad 99:97 Plavsk
08.07 21:00 МСК IPBL
Kaliningrad 117:100 Voronezh
3 Wins
2 Losses
95.2 Scored
96.0 Conceded
60% Win percentage
Moscow
L L L L L
10.07 22:00 МСК IPBL
Moscow 83:89 Voronezh
10.07 20:00 МСК IPBL
Moscow 96:106 Plavsk
10.07 19:00 МСК IPBL
Moscow 88:93 Kaliningrad
08.07 22:00 МСК IPBL
Moscow 110:114 Voronezh
08.07 20:00 МСК IPBL
Moscow 101:116 Plavsk
0 Wins
5 Losses
95.6 Scored
103.6 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyKaliningrad - Moscow

Kaliningrad
2 matches total
Moscow
Kaliningrad: 2 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Moscow: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Kaliningrad 109:88 (08.07 19:00 МСК) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 197 goals (109:88, 08.07 19:00 МСК) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

10.07 19:00 МСК IPBL
Kaliningrad
93:88
Moskva
08.07 19:00 МСК IPBL
Kaliningrad
109:88
Moskva