PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
IPBL
IPBL International
15.07.2026 23:00 MSK Match prediction
15.07.2026 23:00 MSK
Finished

IPBL

Kaliningrad - Plavsk

International Basketball
Kaliningrad
Kaliningrad
108 : 102
Finished
Plavsk
Plavsk
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Kaliningrad — 50%

1 · Kaliningrad50.3%
2 · Plavsk49.7%

Model estimate: win Kaliningrad 50.3%, win Plavsk 49.7%. Model favourite — Kaliningrad.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Kaliningrad - Plavsk 15 июля 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Kaliningrad.

Line favourite Fonbet: Kaliningrad. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.05 / 2 7.70
  • Glicko: Kaliningrad 50.3% / Plavsk 49.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 88.0%
2 12.0%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Победитель П1 1.93 ↓ 1.05
Победитель П2 1.77 ↑ 7.70

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: 100 RUB

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 15.07.2026 23:00 MSK
Form 6 matches
H2H 3
Match center

Kaliningrad - Plavsk

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников и 3 очных встреч.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview
More needed
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 108:102
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Kaliningrad 88.0% 50.3% market and model agree
Plavsk 12.0% 49.7%
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 50.3% / 49.7% probabilities
Rating 1,523 / 1,584 Kaliningrad / Plavsk
RD 74 / 74 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,374-1,672 / 1,435-1,732 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 7.70 Fonbet · weak value +283.0% · model 49.7%
1 1.05 Fonbet · no value · model 50.3%
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.45 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 2.15 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.48 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.62 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 187.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only
Over 188.5 1.58 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
П2 +0.5 2.15 46.5%
П2 +1.5 1.94 51.6%
П2 +10.5 2.20 45.5%
П2 +2.5 2.15 46.5%
П2 +3.5 2.07 48.3%
П2 +4.5 2.07 48.3%
П2 +5.5 2.25 44.4%
П2 +6.5 1.65 60.6%
П2 +7.5 1.75 57.1%
П2 +8.5 1.87 53.5%
П2 -0.5 2.45 40.8%
П2 -1.5 2.13 47.0%
П2 -2.5 2.50 40.0%
П2 -3.5 2.13 47.0%
П2 -4.5 1.83 54.6%
П2 -5.5 2.10 47.6%
П2 -6.5 1.77 56.5%
П2 -9.5 1.72 58.1%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
ТБ 187.5 1.60 62.5%
ТБ 188.5 1.58 63.3%
ТБ 189.5 1.67 59.9%
ТБ 190.5 1.50 66.7%
ТБ 191.5 1.55 64.5%
ТБ 192.5 1.67 59.9%
ТБ 193.5 1.85 54.1%
ТБ 194.5 2.03 49.3%
ТБ 195.5 2.30 43.5%
ТБ 196.5 2.55 39.2%
ТБ 197.5 2.35 42.6%
ТБ 198.5 2.25 44.4%
ТБ 199.5 1.75 57.1%
ТБ 200.5 1.85 54.1%
ТБ 201.5 1.45 69.0%
ТБ 202.5 1.58 63.3%
ТБ 203.5 1.47 68.0%
ТБ 204.5 1.62 61.7%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
П1 1.05 95.2%
П2 7.70 13.0%
Match center
Kaliningrad
W W L W L
15.07 21:00 МСК IPBL
Kaliningrad 107:98 Voronezh
15.07 19:00 МСК IPBL
Kaliningrad 102:90 Moskva
12.07 23:00 МСК IPBL
Kaliningrad 82:102 Plavsk
12.07 21:00 МСК IPBL
Kaliningrad 94:91 Voronezh
12.07 19:00 МСК IPBL
Kaliningrad 81:100 Moskva
3 Wins
2 Losses
93.2 Scored
96.2 Conceded
60% Win percentage
Plavsk
W W W W L
15.07 20:00 МСК IPBL
Plavsk 117:101 Moskva
15.07 18:00 МСК IPBL
Plavsk 101:97 Voronezh
12.07 23:00 МСК IPBL
Plavsk 102:82 Kaliningrad
12.07 20:00 МСК IPBL
Plavsk 90:83 Moskva
12.07 18:00 МСК IPBL
Plavsk 88:93 Voronezh
4 Wins
1 Losses
99.6 Scored
91.2 Conceded
80% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyKaliningrad - Plavsk

Kaliningrad
3 matches total
Plavsk
Kaliningrad: 1 (33.3%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Plavsk: 2 (66.7%)
Biggest win Plavsk 82:102 (12.07 23:00 МСК) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 196 goals (99:97, 08.07 23:00 МСК) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

12.07 23:00 МСК IPBL
Kaliningrad
82:102
Plavsk
10.07 23:00 МСК IPBL
Kaliningrad
75:89
Plavsk
08.07 23:00 МСК IPBL
Kaliningrad
99:97
Plavsk