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IPBL
IPBL International
15.07.2026 20:30 MSK Match prediction
15.07.2026 20:30 MSK
Finished

IPBL

Kats - Kemels

International Basketball
Kats
Kats
123 : 95
Finished
Kemels
Kemels
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Kats — 53%

1 · Kats53.1%
2 · Kemels46.9%

Model estimate: win Kats 53.1%, win Kemels 46.9%. Model favourite — Kats.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Kats - Kemels 15 июля 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Kats.

Line favourite Fonbet: Kats. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.06 / 2 7.30
  • Glicko: Kats 53.1% / Kemels 46.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.0%
1 87.3%
2 12.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Победитель П1 1.40 ↓ 1.06
Победитель П2 2.70 ↑ 7.30

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 15.07.2026 20:30 MSK
Form 6 matches
H2H 3
Match center

Kats - Kemels

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников и 3 очных встреч.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview
More needed
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 123:95
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Kats 87.3% 53.1% market and model agree
Kemels 12.7% 46.9%
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 53.1% / 46.9% probabilities
Rating 1,470 / 1,479 Kats / Kemels
RD 76 / 84 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,319-1,622 / 1,311-1,648 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 7.30 Fonbet · weak value +242.3% · model 46.9%
1 1.06 Fonbet · no value · model 53.1%
Total
Over 213.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only
Over 214.5 1.77 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
П1 -10.5 1.63 61.4%
П2 -10.5 2.13 47.0%
П2 -11.5 1.90 52.6%
П2 -12.5 1.75 57.1%
П2 -13.5 1.70 58.8%
П2 -14.5 1.80 55.6%
П2 -15.5 1.68 59.5%
П2 -16.5 2.05 48.8%
П2 -17.5 2.23 44.8%
П2 -18.5 1.95 51.3%
П2 -19.5 2.07 48.3%
П2 -20.5 1.63 61.4%
П2 -21.5 1.80 55.6%
П2 -5.5 1.95 51.3%
П2 -6.5 1.87 53.5%
П2 -7.5 2.00 50.0%
П2 -8.5 1.90 52.6%
П2 -9.5 1.80 55.6%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
ТБ 213.5 1.60 62.5%
ТБ 214.5 1.77 56.5%
ТБ 215.5 2.00 50.0%
ТБ 216.5 1.76 56.8%
ТБ 217.5 1.75 57.1%
ТБ 218.5 1.93 51.8%
ТБ 219.5 1.80 55.6%
ТБ 220.5 2.07 48.3%
ТБ 222.5 1.75 57.1%
ТБ 223.5 1.90 52.6%
ТБ 224.5 2.05 48.8%
ТБ 225.5 2.05 48.8%
ТБ 226.5 1.83 54.6%
ТБ 227.5 1.95 51.3%
ТБ 228.5 1.70 58.8%
ТБ 229.5 1.80 55.6%
ТБ 230.5 1.93 51.8%
ТБ 231.5 1.83 54.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
П1 1.06 94.3%
П2 7.30 13.7%
Match center
Kats
L W W L W
15.07 18:00 МСК IPBL
Kats 104:116 Vulvz
14.07 15:30 МСК IPBL
Kats 135:131 Dogs
13.07 20:30 МСК IPBL
Kats 115:105 Kemels
13.07 18:00 МСК IPBL
Kats 111:128 Vulvz
10.07 15:30 МСК IPBL
Kats 128:112 Dogs
3 Wins
2 Losses
118.6 Scored
118.4 Conceded
60% Win percentage
Kemels
L L L W W
15.07 19:15 МСК IPBL
Kemels 122:132 Dogs
15.07 16:45 МСК IPBL
Kemels 105:127 Vulvz
13.07 20:30 МСК IPBL
Kemels 105:115 Kats
13.07 19:15 МСК IPBL
Kemels 110:93 Dogs
13.07 16:45 МСК IPBL
Kemels 118:111 Vulvz
2 Wins
3 Losses
112.0 Scored
115.6 Conceded
40% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyKats - Kemels

Kats
3 matches total
Kemels
Kats: 2 (66.7%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Kemels: 1 (33.3%)
Biggest win Kats 124:111 (09.07 20:30 МСК) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 235 goals (124:111, 09.07 20:30 МСК) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

13.07 20:30 МСК IPBL
Kats
115:105
Kemels
09.07 20:30 МСК IPBL
Kats
124:111
Kemels
07.07 20:30 МСК IPBL
Kats
111:117
Kemels