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IPBL
IPBL International
15.07.2026 18:00 MSK Match prediction
15.07.2026 18:00 MSK
Finished

IPBL

Kats - Wolves

International Basketball
Kats
Kats
104 : 116
Finished
Wolves
Wolves
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Kats — 50%

1 · Kats50.4%
2 · Wolves49.6%

Model estimate: win Kats 50.4%, win Wolves 49.6%. Model favourite — Kats.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Kats - Wolves 15 июля 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Wolves.

Line favourite Fonbet: Wolves. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 7.30 / 2 1.06
  • Glicko: Kats 50.4% / Wolves 49.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.0%
1 12.7%
2 87.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Победитель П1 1.67 ↑ 7.30
Победитель П2 2.07 ↓ 1.06

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 15.07.2026 18:00 MSK
Form 6 matches
H2H 3
Match center

Kats - Wolves

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников и 3 очных встреч.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview
More needed
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 104:116
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Kats 12.7% 50.4% Glicko-противоход
Wolves 87.3% 49.6% market favourite
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 50.4% / 49.6% probabilities
Rating 1,499 / 1,556 Kats / Wolves
RD 77 / 82 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,345-1,653 / 1,393-1,720 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.06 Fonbet · no value · model 49.6%
1 7.30 Fonbet · weak value +268.0% · model 50.4%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 225.5 1.83 Fonbet · line only
Over 226.5 2.13 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
П2 +0.5 1.90 52.6%
П2 +1.5 1.68 59.5%
П2 +10.5 2.03 49.3%
П2 +11.5 1.75 57.1%
П2 -0.5 1.90 52.6%
П2 -1.5 1.75 57.1%
П2 -10.5 1.87 53.5%
П2 -11.5 1.77 56.5%
П2 -12.5 1.83 54.6%
П2 -13.5 1.75 57.1%
П2 -2.5 1.85 54.1%
П2 -3.5 1.95 51.3%
П2 -4.5 1.80 55.6%
П2 -5.5 1.68 59.5%
П2 -6.5 1.77 56.5%
П2 -7.5 1.93 51.8%
П2 -8.5 1.80 55.6%
П2 -9.5 1.68 59.5%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
ТБ 225.5 1.83 54.6%
ТБ 226.5 2.13 47.0%
ТБ 230.5 1.80 55.6%
ТБ 231.5 1.80 55.6%
ТБ 232.5 1.60 62.5%
ТБ 233.5 1.77 56.5%
ТБ 234.5 2.00 50.0%
ТБ 235.5 1.94 51.6%
ТБ 236.5 2.05 48.8%
ТБ 237.5 1.80 55.6%
ТБ 238.5 1.95 51.3%
ТБ 239.5 1.95 51.3%
ТБ 240.5 1.75 57.1%
ТБ 241.5 1.83 54.6%
ТБ 242.5 1.77 56.5%
ТБ 243.5 1.90 52.6%
ТБ 244.5 1.75 57.1%
ТБ 245.5 1.75 57.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
П1 7.30 13.7%
П2 1.06 94.3%
Match center
Kats
W W L W W
14.07 15:30 МСК IPBL
Kats 135:131 Dogs
13.07 20:30 МСК IPBL
Kats 115:105 Kemels
13.07 18:00 МСК IPBL
Kats 111:128 Vulvz
10.07 15:30 МСК IPBL
Kats 128:112 Dogs
09.07 20:30 МСК IPBL
Kats 124:111 Kemels
4 Wins
1 Losses
122.6 Scored
117.4 Conceded
80% Win percentage
Wolves
W W W L W
15.07 16:45 МСК IPBL
Wolves 127:105 Kemels
13.07 21:45 МСК IPBL
Wolves 115:104 Dogs
13.07 18:00 МСК IPBL
Wolves 128:111 Kats
13.07 16:45 МСК IPBL
Wolves 111:118 Kemels
10.07 21:45 МСК IPBL
Wolves 125:124 Dogs
4 Wins
1 Losses
121.2 Scored
112.4 Conceded
80% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyKats - Wolves

Kats
3 matches total
Wolves
Kats: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Wolves: 3 (100%)
Biggest win Vulvz 111:128 (13.07 18:00 МСК) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 239 goals (111:128, 13.07 18:00 МСК) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

13.07 18:00 МСК IPBL
Kats
111:128
Vulvz
09.07 18:00 МСК IPBL
Kats
44:52
Vulvz
07.07 18:00 МСК IPBL
Kats
96:100
Vulvz