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IPBL
IPBL International
20.07.2026 13:10 UTC
Finished

IPBL

Kirovgrad (w) - Saransk (w)

International Basketball
Kirovgrad (w)
Kirovgrad (w)
90 : 95
Finished
Saransk (w)
Saransk (w)

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Kirovgrad (w) - Saransk (w) July 20, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Saransk (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 3.30 / 2 1.28

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.4%
1 27.9%
2 72.1%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 20.07.2026 13:10 UTC
Match center

Kirovgrad (w) - Saransk (w)

Form 1/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form away - 51.3% fact: away hit / ROI 68.0% / Brier 0.474 / LogLoss 0.667
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form away - 50.5% fact: away hit / ROI 68.0% / Brier 0.489 / LogLoss 0.683
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.28 Fonbet · line only
1 3.30 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 2.40 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 2.40 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 176.5 1.47 Fonbet · line only
Over 177.5 1.62 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.50 66.7%
1.68 59.5%
1.65 60.6%
1.90 52.6%
2.65 37.7%
1.55 64.5%
1.70 58.8%
1.90 52.6%
2.15 46.5%
2.45 40.8%
1.50 66.7%
1.87 53.5%
1.70 58.8%
1.57 63.7%
1.62 61.7%
1.48 67.6%
1.52 65.8%
1.52 65.8%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 176.5 1.47 68.0%
Over 177.5 1.62 61.7%
Over 178.5 1.48 67.6%
Over 179.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 180.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 181.5 2.13 47.0%
Over 182.5 2.45 40.8%
Over 183.5 2.90 34.5%
Over 184.5 2.40 41.7%
Over 185.5 2.07 48.3%
Over 186.5 2.30 43.5%
Over 187.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 188.5 1.52 65.8%
Over 189.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 190.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 191.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 192.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 193.5 2.03 49.3%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
3.30 30.3%
1.28 78.1%
Match center
Kirovgrad (w)
L
20.07 12:10 UTC IPBL
Kirovgrad (w) 86:104 Saransk (zh)
0 Wins
1 Losses
86.0 Scored
104.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Saransk (w)
L W W L
20.07 11:10 UTC IPBL
Saransk (w) 83:100 Angarsk (zh)
17.07 12:10 UTC IPBL
Saransk (w) 108:80 Angarsk (zh)
15.07 12:10 UTC IPBL
Saransk (w) 101:86 Angarsk (zh)
09.07 11:10 UTC IPBL
Saransk (w) 102:103 Angarsk (zh)
2 Wins
2 Losses
98.5 Scored
92.3 Conceded
50% Win percentage