IPBL International

15.07.2026 18:00 MSK Match prediction

15.07.2026 18:00 MSK

Finished

IPBL

Kostroma (zh) - Ivanovo (zh)

International Basketball

Kostroma (zh)

78 : 87

Finished

Ivanovo (zh)

🎯 PropickAI prediction

High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Ivanovo (zh) — 67%

1 · Kostroma (zh)33.3%

market12%

2 · Ivanovo (zh) ✓ Прогноз66.7%

market88%

Model estimate: win Kostroma (zh) 33.3%, win Ivanovo (zh) 66.7%. Model favourite — Ivanovo (zh).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Kostroma (zh) - Ivanovo (zh) 15 июля 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Ivanovo (zh).

Line favourite Fonbet: Ivanovo (zh). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 7.70 / 2 1.05
Glicko: Kostroma (zh) 33.3% / Ivanovo (zh) 66.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%

1 12.0%

2 ✓ Прогноз 88.0%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Победитель П1 2.23 ↑ 7.70

Победитель П2 1.58 ↓ 1.05

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 15.07.2026 18:00 MSK

Form 6 matches

H2H 3

Match center

Kostroma (zh) - Ivanovo (zh)

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников и 3 очных встреч.

Form 4/4 recent games

H2H 2 head-to-head matches

Market 2 model / bookmakers

Flashscore match data source checked

Odds match data source checked

Bookiesapi match data source checked

Line depth match data source checked

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview

More needed

Tournament Championat, Flashscore

Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries

Post-match / PropickAI database

Score 78:87

Events 0

Statistics 0

Lineups 0

Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Kostroma (zh) 12.0% 33.3%

Ivanovo (zh) 88.0% 66.7% market and model agree

1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Basketball math model

P1 / P2 33.3% / 66.7% probabilities

Rating 1,228 / 1,753 Kostroma (zh) / Ivanovo (zh)

RD 145 / 144 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 939-1,518 / 1,464-2,041 strength interval

HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.05 Fonbet · no value · model 66.7%

1 7.70 Fonbet · no value · model 33.3%

Total

Over 152.5 1.63 Fonbet · line only

Over 153.5 1.72 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
П1 +1.5	2.10 47.6%
П1 +10.5	1.95 51.3%
П1 +11.5	1.77 56.5%
П1 +12.5	1.60 62.5%
П2 +1.5	1.65 60.6%
П2 +10.5	1.75 57.1%
П2 +11.5	1.93 51.8%
П2 +12.5	2.20 45.5%
П2 +13.5	2.50 40.0%
П2 +14.5	2.13 47.0%
П2 +2.5	1.52 65.8%
П2 +3.5	1.40 71.4%
П2 +4.5	1.55 64.5%
П2 +5.5	1.68 59.5%
П2 +6.5	1.93 51.8%
П2 +7.5	2.35 42.6%
П2 +8.5	1.48 67.6%
П2 +9.5	1.58 63.3%

Total

Outcome	Fonbet
ТБ 152.5	1.63 61.4%
ТБ 153.5	1.72 58.1%
ТБ 154.5	1.62 61.7%
ТБ 155.5	1.72 58.1%
ТБ 156.5	1.55 64.5%
ТБ 157.5	1.57 63.7%
ТБ 158.5	1.55 64.5%
ТБ 159.5	1.67 59.9%
ТБ 160.5	1.77 56.5%
ТБ 161.5	1.93 51.8%
ТБ 162.5	2.10 47.6%
ТБ 163.5	2.30 43.5%
ТБ 164.5	1.50 66.7%
ТБ 165.5	1.47 68.0%
ТБ 166.5	1.62 61.7%
ТБ 167.5	1.63 61.4%
ТБ 168.5	1.87 53.5%
ТБ 169.5	2.35 42.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Fonbet
П1	7.70 13.0%
П2	1.05 95.2%

Match center

Kostroma (zh)

W L L L

11.07 21:00 МСК IPBL

Kostroma (zh) 92:90 Staryy Oskol (zh)

11.07 18:00 МСК IPBL

Kostroma (zh) 78:91 Ivanovo (zh)

08.07 21:00 МСК IPBL

Kostroma (zh) 70:81 Staryy Oskol (zh)

08.07 18:00 МСК IPBL

Kostroma (zh) 59:66 Ivanovo (zh)

1 Wins

3 Losses

74.8 Scored

82.0 Conceded

25% Win percentage

Ivanovo (zh)

W W L W

11.07 20:05 МСК IPBL

Ivanovo (zh) 98:85 Penza (zh)

11.07 18:00 МСК IPBL

Ivanovo (zh) 91:78 Kostroma (zh)

08.07 20:05 МСК IPBL

Ivanovo (zh) 72:78 Penza (zh)

08.07 18:00 МСК IPBL

Ivanovo (zh) 66:59 Kostroma (zh)

3 Wins

1 Losses

81.8 Scored

75.0 Conceded

75% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyKostroma (zh) - Ivanovo (zh)

Kostroma (zh)

2 matches total

Ivanovo (zh)

Kostroma (zh): 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Ivanovo (zh): 2 (100%)

Biggest win Ivanovo (zh) 78:91 (11.07 18:00 МСК) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 169 goals (78:91, 11.07 18:00 МСК) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

11.07 18:00 МСК IPBL

Kostroma (zh)

78:91

Ivanovo (zh)

08.07 18:00 МСК IPBL

Kostroma (zh)

59:66

Ivanovo (zh)