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IPBL
IPBL International
13.07.2026 17:00 MSK Match prediction
13.07.2026 17:00 MSK
Finished

IPBL

Krasnodar - Krasnodar

International Basketball
Krasnodar
Krasnodar
107 : 88
Finished
Krasnodar
Krasnodar
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Krasnodar — 50%

1 · Krasnodar49.7%
2 · Krasnodar50.3%

Model estimate: win Krasnodar 49.7%, win Krasnodar 50.3%. Model favourite — Krasnodar.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Krasnodar - Krasnodar 13 июля 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Krasnodar.

Line favourite Fonbet: Krasnodar. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.08 / 2 6.50
  • Glicko: Krasnodar 49.7% / Krasnodar 50.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.0%
1 85.8%
2 14.2%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Победитель П1 1.77 ↓ 1.08
Победитель П2 1.93 ↑ 6.50

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 13.07.2026 17:00 MSK
Form 6 matches
H2H 3
Match center

Krasnodar - Krasnodar

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников и 3 очных встреч.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview
More needed
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 107:88
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Krasnodar 85.8% 49.7% market favourite
Krasnodar 14.3% 50.3% Glicko-противоход
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 49.7% / 50.3% probabilities
Rating 1,412 / 1,482 Krasnodar / Krasnodar
RD 87 / 98 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,238-1,586 / 1,287-1,678 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.50 Fonbet · weak value +226.9% · model 50.3%
1 1.08 Fonbet · no value · model 49.7%
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.05 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 2.05 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.68 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.68 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 152.5 1.46 Fonbet · line only
Over 153.5 1.58 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
П2 -0.5 2.05 48.8%
П2 -1.5 1.90 52.6%
П2 -10.5 2.13 47.0%
П2 -11.5 1.95 51.3%
П2 -12.5 2.35 42.6%
П2 -13.5 2.65 37.7%
П2 -14.5 2.25 44.4%
П2 -15.5 1.95 51.3%
П2 -16.5 1.75 57.1%
П2 -17.5 1.55 64.5%
П2 -18.5 1.76 56.8%
П2 -19.5 1.94 51.6%
П2 -2.5 1.80 55.6%
П2 -20.5 1.65 60.6%
П2 -21.5 1.60 62.5%
П2 -3.5 2.10 47.6%
П2 -4.5 2.13 47.0%
П2 -5.5 2.10 47.6%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
ТБ 152.5 1.46 68.5%
ТБ 153.5 1.58 63.3%
ТБ 154.5 1.70 58.8%
ТБ 155.5 1.87 53.5%
ТБ 156.5 1.52 65.8%
ТБ 157.5 1.50 66.7%
ТБ 158.5 1.80 55.6%
ТБ 159.5 2.07 48.3%
ТБ 160.5 1.77 56.5%
ТБ 161.5 2.05 48.8%
ТБ 162.5 2.70 37.0%
ТБ 163.5 2.03 49.3%
ТБ 164.5 2.23 44.8%
ТБ 165.5 1.60 62.5%
ТБ 166.5 1.72 58.1%
ТБ 167.5 1.83 54.6%
ТБ 168.5 1.95 51.3%
ТБ 169.5 2.13 47.0%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
П1 1.08 92.6%
П2 6.50 15.4%
Match center
Krasnodar
L W L L L
13.07 14:00 МСК IPBL
Krasnodar 85:101 SamaraSamara
13.07 13:00 МСК IPBL
Krasnodar 100:89 Tyumen
10.07 13:00 МСК IPBL
Krasnodar 73:79 Tyumen
09.07 17:00 МСК IPBL
Krasnodar 88:95
09.07 14:00 МСК IPBL
Krasnodar 77:90 SamaraSamara
1 Wins
4 Losses
84.6 Scored
90.8 Conceded
20% Win percentage
Krasnodar
W L W W L
13.07 15:00 МСК IPBL
Krasnodar 83:79 Tyumen
13.07 12:00 МСК IPBL
Krasnodar 85:98 SamaraSamara
09.07 17:00 МСК IPBL
Krasnodar 95:88 Kazan
09.07 15:00 МСК IPBL
Krasnodar 94:76 Tyumen
09.07 12:00 МСК IPBL
Krasnodar 76:97 SamaraSamara
3 Wins
2 Losses
86.6 Scored
87.6 Conceded
60% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyKrasnodar - Krasnodar

Krasnodar
2 matches total
Krasnodar
Krasnodar: 1 (50%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Krasnodar: 1 (50%)
Biggest win Kazan 112:93 (07.07 17:00 МСК) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 205 goals (112:93, 07.07 17:00 МСК) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

09.07 17:00 МСК IPBL
Kazan
88:95
Krasnodar
07.07 17:00 МСК IPBL
Kazan
112:93
Krasnodar