IPBL International

15.07.2026 17:00 MSK Match prediction

15.07.2026 17:00 MSK

Finished

IPBL

Krasnodar - Krasnodar

International Basketball

Krasnodar

105 : 92

Finished

Krasnodar

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Krasnodar — 59%

1 · Krasnodar ✓ Прогноз59.2%

market90%

2 · Krasnodar40.8%

market10%

Model estimate: win Krasnodar 59.2%, win Krasnodar 40.8%. Model favourite — Krasnodar.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Krasnodar - Krasnodar 15 июля 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Krasnodar.

Line favourite Fonbet: Krasnodar. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.03 / 2 9.00
Glicko: Krasnodar 59.2% / Krasnodar 40.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%

1 ✓ Прогноз 89.7%

2 10.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Победитель П1 1.65 ↓ 1.03

Победитель П2 2.10 ↑ 9.00

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 15.07.2026 17:00 MSK

Form 6 matches

H2H 3

Match center

Krasnodar - Krasnodar

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников и 3 очных встреч.

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 3 head-to-head matches

Market 2 model / bookmakers

Flashscore match data source checked

Odds match data source checked

Bookiesapi match data source checked

Line depth match data source checked

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview

More needed

Tournament Championat, Flashscore

Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries

Post-match / PropickAI database

Score 105:92

Events 0

Statistics 0

Lineups 0

Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Krasnodar 89.7% 59.2% market and model agree

Krasnodar 10.3% 40.8%

1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Basketball math model

P1 / P2 59.2% / 40.8% probabilities

Rating 1,534 / 1,418 Krasnodar / Krasnodar

RD 83 / 94 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,368-1,699 / 1,231-1,605 strength interval

HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 9.00 Fonbet · no value · model 40.8%

1 1.03 Fonbet · no value · model 59.2%

Handicap

2 -0.5 2.25 Fonbet · line only

2 +0.5 2.10 Fonbet · line only

1 -0.5 1.57 Fonbet · line only

1 +0.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 187.5 1.63 Fonbet · line only

Over 188.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
П2 -0.5	2.25 44.4%
П2 -1.5	2.03 49.3%
П2 -10.5	2.35 42.6%
П2 -11.5	2.10 47.6%
П2 -12.5	1.90 52.6%
П2 -13.5	2.30 43.5%
П2 -14.5	2.35 42.6%
П2 -15.5	2.10 47.6%
П2 -16.5	1.87 53.5%
П2 -17.5	1.70 58.8%
П2 -18.5	1.95 51.3%
П2 -19.5	1.83 54.6%
П2 -2.5	1.87 53.5%
П2 -20.5	2.00 50.0%
П2 -21.5	1.83 54.6%
П2 -22.5	1.67 59.9%
П2 -23.5	1.55 64.5%
П2 -3.5	1.72 58.1%

Total

Outcome	Fonbet
ТБ 187.5	1.63 61.4%
ТБ 188.5	1.70 58.8%
ТБ 189.5	1.77 56.5%
ТБ 190.5	1.85 54.1%
ТБ 191.5	1.70 58.8%
ТБ 192.5	1.94 51.6%
ТБ 193.5	1.87 53.5%
ТБ 194.5	1.72 58.1%
ТБ 195.5	1.93 51.8%
ТБ 196.5	2.20 45.5%
ТБ 197.5	2.50 40.0%
ТБ 198.5	2.20 45.5%
ТБ 199.5	2.45 40.8%
ТБ 200.5	1.85 54.1%
ТБ 201.5	2.03 49.3%
ТБ 202.5	2.25 44.4%
ТБ 203.5	2.55 39.2%
ТБ 204.5	2.30 43.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Fonbet
П1	1.03 97.1%
П2	9.00 11.1%

Match center

Krasnodar

W W W L W

15.07 14:00 МСК IPBL

Krasnodar 76:69 Samara

15.07 13:00 МСК IPBL

Krasnodar 93:79 Tyumen

13.07 17:00 МСК IPBL

Krasnodar 107:88

13.07 14:00 МСК IPBL

Krasnodar 85:101 Samara

13.07 13:00 МСК IPBL

Krasnodar 100:89 Tyumen

4 Wins

1 Losses

92.2 Scored

85.2 Conceded

80% Win percentage

Krasnodar

W L L W L

15.07 15:00 МСК IPBL

Krasnodar 105:85 Tyumen

15.07 12:00 МСК IPBL

Krasnodar 89:96 Samara

13.07 17:00 МСК IPBL

Krasnodar 88:107 Kazan

13.07 15:00 МСК IPBL

Krasnodar 83:79 Tyumen

13.07 12:00 МСК IPBL

Krasnodar 85:98 Samara

2 Wins

3 Losses

90.0 Scored

93.0 Conceded

40% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyKrasnodar - Krasnodar

Krasnodar

3 matches total

Krasnodar

Krasnodar: 1 (33.3%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Krasnodar: 2 (66.7%)

Biggest win Kazan 107:88 (13.07 17:00 МСК) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 205 goals (112:93, 07.07 17:00 МСК) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

13.07 17:00 МСК IPBL

Kazan

107:88

Krasnodar

09.07 17:00 МСК IPBL

Kazan

88:95

Krasnodar

07.07 17:00 МСК IPBL

Kazan

112:93

Krasnodar