IPBL
IPBL International
10.07.2026 13:00 MSK
Finished

IPBL

Krasnodar - Tyumen

International Basketball
Krasnodar
Krasnodar
73 : 79
Finished
Tyumen
Tyumen

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Krasnodar - Tyumen 10 июля 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Tyumen. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.55 / 2 1.45

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 36.3%
2 63.8%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 10.07.2026 13:00 MSK
Match center

Krasnodar - Tyumen

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.45 Fonbet · line only
1 2.55 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.05 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 2.05 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.68 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.68 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 153.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only
Over 154.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

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bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
П2 +0.5 2.05 48.8%
П2 +1.5 1.95 51.3%
П2 +10.5 2.00 50.0%
П2 +11.5 2.20 45.5%
П2 +2.5 2.20 45.5%
П2 +3.5 2.35 42.6%
П2 +4.5 1.70 58.8%
П2 +5.5 1.83 54.6%
П2 +6.5 1.95 51.3%
П2 +7.5 2.10 47.6%
П2 +8.5 1.75 57.1%
П2 +9.5 1.87 53.5%
П2 -0.5 2.05 48.8%
П2 -1.5 1.77 56.5%
П2 -2.5 1.55 64.5%
П2 -3.5 1.63 61.4%
П2 -4.5 1.77 56.5%
П2 -5.5 1.68 59.5%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
ТБ 153.5 1.70 58.8%
ТБ 154.5 1.90 52.6%
ТБ 155.5 1.72 58.1%
ТБ 156.5 1.90 52.6%
ТБ 157.5 2.20 45.5%
ТБ 158.5 2.50 40.0%
ТБ 159.5 2.52 39.7%
ТБ 160.5 1.90 52.6%
ТБ 161.5 2.10 47.6%
ТБ 162.5 2.30 43.5%
ТБ 163.5 1.52 65.8%
ТБ 164.5 1.63 61.4%
ТБ 165.5 1.75 57.1%
ТБ 166.5 1.87 53.5%
ТБ 167.5 2.03 49.3%
ТБ 168.5 2.20 45.5%
ТБ 169.5 2.20 45.5%
ТБ 170.5 1.90 52.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
П1 2.55 39.2%
П2 1.45 69.0%
Match center
Krasnodar
L L L W L
09.07 17:00 МСК IPBL
Krasnodar 88:95
09.07 14:00 МСК IPBL
Krasnodar 77:90 SamaraSamara
08.07 13:00 МСК IPBL
Krasnodar 85:96 Tyumen
07.07 17:00 МСК IPBL
Krasnodar 112:93
07.07 14:00 МСК IPBL
Krasnodar 95:102 SamaraSamara
1 Wins
4 Losses
91.4 Scored
95.2 Conceded
20% Win percentage
Tyumen
W L W W W
09.07 16:00 МСК IPBL
Tyumen 91:83 SamaraSamara
09.07 15:00 МСК IPBL
Tyumen 76:94 Krasnodar
08.07 13:00 МСК IPBL
Tyumen 96:85 Kazan
07.07 16:00 МСК IPBL
Tyumen 104:97 SamaraSamara
07.07 15:00 МСК IPBL
Tyumen 116:114 Krasnodar
4 Wins
1 Losses
96.6 Scored
94.6 Conceded
80% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyKrasnodar - Tyumen

Krasnodar
1 matches total
Tyumen
Krasnodar: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Tyumen: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Tyumen 85:96 (08.07 13:00 МСК) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 181 goals (85:96, 08.07 13:00 МСК) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

08.07 13:00 МСК IPBL
Kazan
85:96
Tyumen