IPBL
IPBL International
15.07.2026 03:00 MSK
Finished

IPBL

Krasnoyarsk - Rostov-on-Don

International Basketball
Krasnoyarsk
Krasnoyarsk
121 : 122
Finished
Rostov-on-Don
Rostov-on-Don
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Krasnoyarsk59%

1 · Krasnoyarsk ✓ Прогноз59.4%
market80%
2 · Rostov-on-Don40.6%
market20%

Model estimate: win Krasnoyarsk 59.4%, win Rostov-on-Don 40.6%. Model favourite — Krasnoyarsk.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Krasnoyarsk - Rostov-on-Don 15 июля 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Krasnoyarsk.

Line favourite Fonbet: Krasnoyarsk. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.16 / 2 4.50
  • Glicko: Krasnoyarsk 59.4% / Rostov-on-Don 40.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.4%
1 ✓ Прогноз 79.5%
2 20.5%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Победитель П1 2.15 ↓ 2.07
Победитель П2 1.62 ↑ 1.67

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 15.07.2026 03:00 MSK
Form 6 matches
H2H 3
Match center

Krasnoyarsk - Rostov-on-Don

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников и 3 очных встреч.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview
More needed
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 121:122
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Krasnoyarsk 44.7% 59.4% Glicko-противоход
Rostov-on-Don 55.4% 40.6% market favourite
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 59.4% / 40.6% probabilities
Rating 1,705 / 1,589 Krasnoyarsk / Rostov-on-Don
RD 74 / 72 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,558-1,853 / 1,445-1,734 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: P1 | odds 2.07 | edge 14.7% | ROI 22.9% | BetBoom

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.50 Fonbet · no value · model 40.6%
1 1.16 Fonbet · no value · model 59.4%
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.65 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.47 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.43 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 2.50 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 207.5 1.52 Fonbet · line only
Over 208.5 1.63 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
П2 +0.5 1.47 68.0%
П2 +1.5 1.62 61.7%
П2 +10.5 2.35 42.6%
П2 +11.5 1.65 60.6%
П2 +12.5 1.75 57.1%
П2 -0.5 2.65 37.7%
П2 -1.5 2.23 44.8%
П2 -10.5 1.80 55.6%
П2 -11.5 1.67 59.9%
П2 -12.5 1.57 63.7%
П2 -2.5 1.90 52.6%
П2 -3.5 1.95 51.3%
П2 -4.5 2.10 47.6%
П2 -5.5 1.80 55.6%
П2 -6.5 1.75 57.1%
П2 -7.5 1.60 62.5%
П2 -8.5 2.10 47.6%
П2 -9.5 1.93 51.8%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
ТБ 207.5 1.52 65.8%
ТБ 208.5 1.63 61.4%
ТБ 209.5 1.77 56.5%
ТБ 210.5 1.90 52.6%
ТБ 211.5 2.07 48.3%
ТБ 212.5 2.30 43.5%
ТБ 213.5 1.50 66.7%
ТБ 214.5 1.60 62.5%
ТБ 215.5 1.58 63.3%
ТБ 216.5 1.47 68.0%
ТБ 217.5 1.62 61.7%
ТБ 218.5 1.76 56.8%
ТБ 219.5 1.95 51.3%
ТБ 220.5 1.43 69.9%
ТБ 221.5 1.55 64.5%
ТБ 222.5 1.72 58.1%
ТБ 223.5 1.93 51.8%
ТБ 224.5 2.15 46.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
П1 1.16 86.2%
П2 4.50 22.2%
Match center
Krasnoyarsk
W W W W W
15.07 00:00 МСК IPBL
Krasnoyarsk 115:107 Nizhniy Novgorod
13.07 04:00 МСК IPBL
Krasnoyarsk 112:108 Volgograd
13.07 03:00 МСК IPBL
Krasnoyarsk 107:90 Rostov-na-Donu
13.07 00:00 МСК IPBL
Krasnoyarsk 112:107 Nizhniy Novgorod
10.07 03:00 МСК IPBL
Krasnoyarsk 113:101 Rostov-na-Donu
5 Wins
0 Losses
111.8 Scored
102.6 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Rostov-on-Don
W W L W L
15.07 01:00 МСК IPBL
Rostov-on-Don 122:115 Volgograd
13.07 05:00 МСК IPBL
Rostov-on-Don 117:103 Nizhniy Novgorod
13.07 03:00 МСК IPBL
Rostov-on-Don 90:107 Krasnoyarsk
13.07 01:05 МСК IPBL
Rostov-on-Don 124:98 Volgograd
10.07 03:00 МСК IPBL
Rostov-on-Don 101:113 Krasnoyarsk
3 Wins
2 Losses
110.8 Scored
107.2 Conceded
60% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyKrasnoyarsk - Rostov-on-Don

Krasnoyarsk
3 matches total
Rostov-on-Don
Krasnoyarsk: 3 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Rostov-on-Don: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Krasnoyarsk 107:90 (13.07 03:00 МСК) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 214 goals (113:101, 10.07 03:00 МСК) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

13.07 03:00 МСК IPBL
Krasnoyarsk
107:90
Rostov-na-Donu
10.07 03:00 МСК IPBL
Krasnoyarsk
113:101
Rostov-na-Donu
08.07 03:00 МСК IPBL
Krasnoyarsk
104:96
Rostov-na-Donu