IPBL International

16.07.2026 07:05 UTC Match prediction

16.07.2026 07:05 UTC

Finished

IPBL

Kursk (w) - Orenburg (w)

International Basketball

Kursk (w)

85 : 76

Finished

Orenburg (w)

🎯 PropickAI prediction

High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Kursk (w) — 66%

1 · Kursk (w) ✓ Прогноз65.8%

market85%

2 · Orenburg (w)34.2%

market15%

Model estimate: win Kursk (w) 65.8%, win Orenburg (w) 34.2%. Model favourite — Kursk (w).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Kursk (w) - Orenburg (w) July 16, 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Kursk (w).

Line favourite Fonbet: Kursk (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.09 / 2 6.10
Glicko: Kursk (w) 65.8% / Orenburg (w) 34.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 8.1%

1 ✓ Прогноз 84.8%

2 15.2%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner 1 1.57 ↓ 1.38

Winner 2 2.25 ↑ 2.80

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 16.07.2026 07:05 UTC

Form 6 matches

H2H 2

Match center

Kursk (w) - Orenburg (w)

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 2 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 2 head-to-head matches

Market 2 model / bookmakers

Flashscore match data source checked

Odds match data source checked

Bookiesapi match data source checked

Line depth match data source checked

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview

More needed

Tournament Championat, Flashscore

Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries

Post-match / PropickAI database

Score 85:76

Events 0

Statistics 0

Lineups 0

Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Kursk (w) 67.0% 65.8% market and model agree

Orenburg (w) 33.0% 34.2%

1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model

P1 / P2 65.8% / 34.2% probabilities

Rating 1,764 / 1,248 Kursk (w) / Orenburg (w)

RD 154 / 168 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,455-2,072 / 912-1,584 strength interval

HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 6.10 Fonbet · no value · model 34.2%

1 1.09 Fonbet · no value · model 65.8%

Total

Over 145.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only

Over 146.5 1.45 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
	1.65 60.6%
	1.72 58.1%
	2.10 47.6%
	2.00 50.0%
	1.75 57.1%
	1.87 53.5%
	1.60 62.5%
	1.72 58.1%
	1.60 62.5%
	1.62 61.7%
	2.13 47.0%
	2.00 50.0%
	2.45 40.8%
	2.10 47.6%
	1.83 54.6%
	1.62 61.7%
	1.57 63.7%
	1.48 67.6%

Total

Outcome	Fonbet
Over 145.5	1.60 62.5%
Over 146.5	1.45 69.0%
Over 147.5	1.57 63.7%
Over 148.5	1.40 71.4%
Over 149.5	1.55 64.5%
Over 150.5	1.72 58.1%
Over 151.5	1.94 51.6%
Over 152.5	2.23 44.8%
Over 153.5	2.55 39.2%
Over 154.5	2.55 39.2%
Over 155.5	2.35 42.6%
Over 156.5	1.77 56.5%
Over 157.5	2.10 47.6%
Under 145.5	2.20 45.5%
Under 146.5	2.55 39.2%
Under 147.5	2.25 44.4%
Under 148.5	2.70 37.0%
Under 149.5	2.30 43.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Fonbet
	1.09 91.7%
	6.10 16.4%

Match center

Kursk (w)

W W W W L

16.07 04:00 UTC IPBL

Kursk (w) 83:72 Vologda (zh)

12.07 07:05 UTC IPBL

Kursk (w) 90:85 Orenburg (zh)

12.07 05:05 UTC IPBL

Kursk (w) 54:49 Severodvinsk (zh)

12.07 04:00 UTC IPBL

Kursk (w) 84:68 Vologda (zh)

09.07 07:05 UTC IPBL

Kursk (w) 67:76 Orenburg (zh)

4 Wins

1 Losses

75.6 Scored

70.0 Conceded

80% Win percentage

Orenburg (w)

L L L L W

16.07 06:00 UTC IPBL

Orenburg (w) 78:87 Vologda (zh)

16.07 03:00 UTC IPBL

Orenburg (w) 72:96 Severodvinsk (zh)

12.07 07:05 UTC IPBL

Orenburg (w) 85:90 Kursk (zh)

12.07 06:00 UTC IPBL

Orenburg (w) 76:82 Vologda (zh)

12.07 03:00 UTC IPBL

Orenburg (w) 73:61 Severodvinsk (zh)

1 Wins

4 Losses

76.8 Scored

83.2 Conceded

20% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyKursk (w) - Orenburg (w)

Kursk (w)

2 matches total

Orenburg (w)

Kursk (w): 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Orenburg (w): 2 (100%)

Biggest win Orenburg (zh) 67:76 (09.07 07:05 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 175 goals (90:85, 12.07 07:05 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

12.07 07:05 UTC IPBL

Kursk (zh)

90:85

Orenburg (zh)

09.07 07:05 UTC IPBL

Kursk (zh)

67:76

Orenburg (zh)