Match center
Start
11.07.2026 14:10 UTC
11.07.2026 14:10 UTC
Finished
IPBL
Lipetsk - Tula
86
:
80
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Lipetsk - Tula 11 июля 2026
Basketball math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Tula. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 6.10 / 2 1.09
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner
bookmaker margin 8.1%
1
15.2%
2
84.8%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Lipetsk - Tula
Form
2/2
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.09
Fonbet · line only
1
6.10
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.75
Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5
1.75
Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5
1.95
Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5
1.95
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 158.5
1.70
Fonbet · line only
Over 159.5
1.95
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| П2 +0.5 | 1.75 57.1% |
| П2 +1.5 | 2.03 49.3% |
| П2 +10.5 | 1.52 65.8% |
| П2 +11.5 | 1.65 60.6% |
| П2 +12.5 | 1.80 55.6% |
| П2 +13.5 | 1.95 51.3% |
| П2 -0.5 | 1.75 57.1% |
| П2 -1.5 | 1.55 64.5% |
| П2 -10.5 | 1.72 58.1% |
| П2 -11.5 | 1.63 61.4% |
| П2 -2.5 | 1.68 59.5% |
| П2 -3.5 | 1.72 58.1% |
| П2 -4.5 | 2.07 48.3% |
| П2 -5.5 | 1.77 56.5% |
| П2 -6.5 | 1.55 64.5% |
| П2 -7.5 | 1.72 58.1% |
| П2 -8.5 | 1.87 53.5% |
| П2 -9.5 | 1.83 54.6% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| ТБ 158.5 | 1.70 58.8% |
| ТБ 159.5 | 1.95 51.3% |
| ТБ 160.5 | 1.50 66.7% |
| ТБ 161.5 | 1.63 61.4% |
| ТБ 162.5 | 1.43 69.9% |
| ТБ 163.5 | 1.57 63.7% |
| ТБ 164.5 | 1.65 60.6% |
| ТБ 165.5 | 1.55 64.5% |
| ТБ 166.5 | 1.65 60.6% |
| ТБ 167.5 | 1.52 65.8% |
| ТБ 168.5 | 1.48 67.6% |
| ТБ 169.5 | 1.60 62.5% |
| ТБ 170.5 | 1.50 66.7% |
| ТБ 171.5 | 1.62 61.7% |
| ТБ 172.5 | 1.76 56.8% |
| ТБ 173.5 | 1.48 67.6% |
| ТБ 174.5 | 1.63 61.4% |
| ТБ 175.5 | 1.83 54.6% |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| П1 | 6.10 16.4% |
| П2 | 1.09 91.7% |
Match center
Lipetsk
L
L
Lipetsk
75:86
Arkhangelsk
Lipetsk
90:95
Vladikavkaz
0
Wins
2
Losses
82.5
Scored
90.5
Conceded
0%
Win percentage
Tula
L
L
Tula
94:102
Vladikavkaz
Tula
68:86
Arkhangelsk
0
Wins
2
Losses
81.0
Scored
94.0
Conceded
0%
Win percentage
Match center
Full head-to-head historyLipetsk - Tula
Lipetsk
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals