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IPBL
IPBL International
17.07.2026 10:00 UTC Match prediction
17.07.2026 10:00 UTC
Finished

IPBL

Magnitogorsk (w) - Izhevsk (w)

International Basketball
Magnitogorsk (w)
Magnitogorsk (w)
93 : 74
Finished
Izhevsk (w)
Izhevsk (w)
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Izhevsk (w) — 67%

1 · Magnitogorsk (w)32.6%
market85%
2 · Izhevsk (w) ✓ Прогноз67.4%
market15%

Model estimate: win Magnitogorsk (w) 32.6%, win Izhevsk (w) 67.4%. Model favourite — Izhevsk (w).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Magnitogorsk (w) - Izhevsk (w) July 17, 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Magnitogorsk (w).

Line favourite Fonbet: Magnitogorsk (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.09 / 2 6.10
  • Glicko: Magnitogorsk (w) 32.6% / Izhevsk (w) 67.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1%
1 84.8%
2 ✓ Прогноз 15.2%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 2.35 ↓ 1.09
Winner 2 1.52 ↑ 6.10

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 17.07.2026 10:00 UTC
Form 6 matches
H2H 3
Match center

Magnitogorsk (w) - Izhevsk (w)

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 3 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview
More needed
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 93:74
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Magnitogorsk (w) 84.8% 32.6% market favourite
Izhevsk (w) 15.2% 67.4% Glicko contrarian
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 32.6% / 67.4% probabilities
Rating 1,207 / 1,782 Magnitogorsk (w) / Izhevsk (w)
RD 147 / 147 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 913-1,502 / 1,487-2,076 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.10 Fonbet · weak value +311.0% · model 67.4%
1 1.09 Fonbet · no value · model 32.6%
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.35 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 2.00 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.52 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.72 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 162.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only
Over 163.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
2.00 50.0%
2.23 44.8%
1.94 51.6%
2.10 47.6%
2.35 42.6%
2.10 47.6%
2.15 46.5%
1.83 54.6%
2.23 44.8%
1.85 54.1%
2.03 49.3%
1.87 53.5%
2.23 44.8%
2.50 40.0%
2.15 46.5%
1.90 52.6%
1.70 58.8%
1.55 64.5%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 162.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 163.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 164.5 1.45 69.0%
Over 165.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 166.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 167.5 2.07 48.3%
Over 168.5 2.25 44.4%
Over 169.5 2.55 39.2%
Over 170.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 171.5 2.20 45.5%
Over 172.5 2.45 40.8%
Over 173.5 2.40 41.7%
Over 174.5 2.20 45.5%
Over 175.5 2.40 41.7%
Over 176.5 2.23 44.8%
Over 177.5 2.20 45.5%
Over 178.5 2.15 46.5%
Over 179.5 1.80 55.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.09 91.7%
6.10 16.4%
Match center
Magnitogorsk (w)
L L L L W
15.07 11:05 UTC IPBL
Magnitogorsk (w) 96:99 Novokuznetsk (zh)
15.07 10:00 UTC IPBL
Magnitogorsk (w) 68:89 Izhevsk (zh)
13.07 14:00 UTC IPBL
Magnitogorsk (w) 109:114 Bryansk (zh)
13.07 11:05 UTC IPBL
Magnitogorsk (w) 112:117 Novokuznetsk (zh)
13.07 10:00 UTC IPBL
Magnitogorsk (w) 101:96 Izhevsk (zh)
1 Wins
4 Losses
97.2 Scored
103.0 Conceded
20% Win percentage
Izhevsk (w)
W W W L L
15.07 13:05 UTC IPBL
Izhevsk (w) 109:100 Novokuznetsk (zh)
15.07 12:00 UTC IPBL
Izhevsk (w) 94:87 Bryansk (zh)
15.07 10:00 UTC IPBL
Izhevsk (w) 89:68 Magnitogorsk (zh)
13.07 13:05 UTC IPBL
Izhevsk (w) 96:101 Novokuznetsk (zh)
13.07 12:00 UTC IPBL
Izhevsk (w) 88:106 Bryansk (zh)
3 Wins
2 Losses
95.2 Scored
92.4 Conceded
60% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMagnitogorsk (w) - Izhevsk (w)

Magnitogorsk (w)
3 matches total
Izhevsk (w)
Magnitogorsk (w): 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Izhevsk (w): 3 (100%)
Biggest win Izhevsk (zh) 68:89 (15.07 10:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 197 goals (101:96, 13.07 10:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

15.07 10:00 UTC IPBL
Magnitogorsk (zh)
68:89
Izhevsk (zh)
13.07 10:00 UTC IPBL
Magnitogorsk (zh)
101:96
Izhevsk (zh)
10.07 10:00 UTC IPBL
Magnitogorsk (zh)
92:94
Izhevsk (zh)