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IPBL
IPBL International
15.07.2026 14:10 MSK Match prediction
15.07.2026 14:10 MSK
Finished

IPBL

Maykop - Belgorod

International Basketball
Maykop
Maykop
102 : 122
Finished
Belgorod
Belgorod
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Belgorod — 58%

1 · Maykop41.9%
market15%
2 · Belgorod ✓ Прогноз58.1%
market85%

Model estimate: win Maykop 41.9%, win Belgorod 58.1%. Model favourite — Belgorod.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Maykop - Belgorod 15 июля 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Belgorod.

Line favourite Fonbet: Belgorod. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 6.10 / 2 1.09
  • Glicko: Maykop 41.9% / Belgorod 58.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1%
1 15.2%
2 ✓ Прогноз 84.8%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Победитель П1 2.23 ↑ 7.30
Победитель П2 1.58 ↓ 1.06

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 15.07.2026 14:10 MSK
Form 6 matches
H2H 3
Match center

Maykop - Belgorod

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников и 3 очных встреч.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview
More needed
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 102:122
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Maykop 12.7% 41.9%
Belgorod 87.3% 58.1% market and model agree
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 41.9% / 58.1% probabilities
Rating 1,408 / 1,628 Maykop / Belgorod
RD 103 / 93 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,202-1,613 / 1,443-1,814 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.09 Fonbet · no value · model 58.1%
1 6.10 Fonbet · no value · model 41.9%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.68 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.68 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 2.05 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 2.05 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 187.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only
Over 188.5 1.63 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
П2 +0.5 1.68 59.5%
П2 +1.5 1.77 56.5%
П2 +10.5 1.87 53.5%
П2 +11.5 2.03 49.3%
П2 +12.5 2.20 45.5%
П2 +13.5 1.80 55.6%
П2 +14.5 1.90 52.6%
П2 +15.5 2.03 49.3%
П2 +16.5 1.65 60.6%
П2 +17.5 2.05 48.8%
П2 +18.5 1.60 62.5%
П2 +19.5 1.72 58.1%
П2 +2.5 1.87 53.5%
П2 +20.5 1.87 53.5%
П2 +21.5 1.55 64.5%
П2 +22.5 1.77 56.5%
П2 -0.5 1.68 59.5%
П2 -1.5 1.72 58.1%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
ТБ 187.5 1.50 66.7%
ТБ 188.5 1.63 61.4%
ТБ 189.5 1.77 56.5%
ТБ 190.5 1.95 51.3%
ТБ 191.5 1.63 61.4%
ТБ 192.5 1.70 58.8%
ТБ 193.5 1.77 56.5%
ТБ 194.5 1.85 54.1%
ТБ 195.5 1.94 51.6%
ТБ 196.5 2.03 49.3%
ТБ 197.5 1.93 51.8%
ТБ 198.5 2.03 49.3%
ТБ 199.5 1.65 60.6%
ТБ 200.5 1.72 58.1%
ТБ 201.5 1.80 55.6%
ТБ 202.5 1.68 59.5%
ТБ 203.5 1.76 56.8%
ТБ 204.5 1.85 54.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
П1 6.10 16.4%
П2 1.09 91.7%
Match center
Maykop
W L W L L
15.07 12:10 МСК IPBL
Maykop 94:85 Nalchik
13.07 14:10 МСК IPBL
Maykop 89:96 Belgorod
13.07 12:10 МСК IPBL
Maykop 97:95 Nalchik
10.07 14:10 МСК IPBL
Maykop 83:102 Belgorod
10.07 12:10 МСК IPBL
Maykop 102:103 Nalchik
2 Wins
3 Losses
93.0 Scored
96.2 Conceded
40% Win percentage
Belgorod
W W L W L
15.07 13:10 МСК IPBL
Belgorod 116:102 Saratov
13.07 14:10 МСК IPBL
Belgorod 96:89 Maykop
13.07 13:10 МСК IPBL
Belgorod 107:118 Saratov
10.07 14:10 МСК IPBL
Belgorod 102:83 Maykop
10.07 13:10 МСК IPBL
Belgorod 96:105 Saratov
3 Wins
2 Losses
103.4 Scored
99.4 Conceded
60% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMaykop - Belgorod

Maykop
3 matches total
Belgorod
Maykop: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Belgorod: 3 (100%)
Biggest win Belgorod 83:102 (10.07 14:10 МСК) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 191 goals (93:98, 08.07 14:10 МСК) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

13.07 14:10 МСК IPBL
Maykop
89:96
Belgorod
10.07 14:10 МСК IPBL
Maykop
83:102
Belgorod
08.07 14:10 МСК IPBL
Maykop
93:98
Belgorod