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IPBL
IPBL International
13.07.2026 12:10 MSK Match prediction
13.07.2026 12:10 MSK
Finished

IPBL

Maykop - Nalchik

International Basketball
Maykop
Maykop
97 : 95
Finished
Nalchik
Nalchik
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Maykop — 64%

1 · Maykop ✓ Прогноз64.1%
market12%
2 · Nalchik35.9%
market88%

Model estimate: win Maykop 64.1%, win Nalchik 35.9%. Model favourite — Maykop.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Maykop - Nalchik 13 июля 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Nalchik.

Line favourite Fonbet: Nalchik. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 7.70 / 2 1.05
  • Glicko: Maykop 64.1% / Nalchik 35.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 ✓ Прогноз 12.0%
2 88.0%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Победитель П1 1.57 ↑ 7.70
Победитель П2 2.25 ↓ 1.05

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 13.07.2026 12:10 MSK
Form 6 matches
H2H 3
Match center

Maykop - Nalchik

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников и 3 очных встреч.

Form 4/4 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview
More needed
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 97:95
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Maykop 12.0% 64.1% Glicko-противоход
Nalchik 88.0% 35.9% market favourite
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 64.1% / 35.9% probabilities
Rating 1,441 / 1,189 Maykop / Nalchik
RD 108 / 91 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,224-1,658 / 1,007-1,371 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.05 Fonbet · no value · model 35.9%
1 7.70 Fonbet · weak value +393.5% · model 64.1%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.87 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.87 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.83 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.83 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 177.5 1.45 Fonbet · line only
Over 178.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
П2 +0.5 1.87 53.5%
П2 +1.5 1.68 59.5%
П2 +10.5 1.75 57.1%
П2 +11.5 1.50 66.7%
П2 +12.5 1.63 61.4%
П2 +13.5 1.80 55.6%
П2 +14.5 2.00 50.0%
П2 +15.5 1.85 54.1%
П2 +16.5 1.93 51.8%
П2 +17.5 2.20 45.5%
П2 +18.5 2.52 39.7%
П2 +19.5 2.03 49.3%
П2 -0.5 1.87 53.5%
П2 -1.5 1.76 56.8%
П2 -2.5 1.67 59.9%
П2 -3.5 1.68 59.5%
П2 -4.5 1.68 59.5%
П2 -5.5 1.70 58.8%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
ТБ 177.5 1.45 69.0%
ТБ 178.5 1.55 64.5%
ТБ 179.5 1.70 58.8%
ТБ 180.5 1.87 53.5%
ТБ 181.5 1.52 65.8%
ТБ 182.5 1.62 61.7%
ТБ 183.5 1.70 58.8%
ТБ 184.5 1.58 63.3%
ТБ 185.5 1.62 61.7%
ТБ 186.5 1.57 63.7%
ТБ 187.5 1.68 59.5%
ТБ 188.5 1.80 55.6%
ТБ 189.5 1.94 51.6%
ТБ 190.5 2.10 47.6%
ТБ 191.5 2.30 43.5%
ТБ 192.5 2.15 46.5%
ТБ 193.5 1.52 65.8%
ТБ 194.5 1.58 63.3%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
П1 7.70 13.0%
П2 1.05 95.2%
Match center
Maykop
L L L W
10.07 14:10 МСК IPBL
Maykop 83:102 Belgorod
10.07 12:10 МСК IPBL
Maykop 102:103 Nalchik
08.07 14:10 МСК IPBL
Maykop 93:98 Belgorod
08.07 12:10 МСК IPBL
Maykop 94:90 Nalchik
1 Wins
3 Losses
93.0 Scored
98.3 Conceded
25% Win percentage
Nalchik
W L L L
10.07 12:10 МСК IPBL
Nalchik 103:102 Maykop
09.07 15:10 МСК IPBL
Nalchik 61:68 Saratov
08.07 12:10 МСК IPBL
Nalchik 90:94 Maykop
07.07 15:10 МСК IPBL
Nalchik 70:91 Saratov
1 Wins
3 Losses
81.0 Scored
88.8 Conceded
25% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMaykop - Nalchik

Maykop
2 matches total
Nalchik
Maykop: 1 (50%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Nalchik: 1 (50%)
Biggest win Maykop 94:90 (08.07 12:10 МСК) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 205 goals (102:103, 10.07 12:10 МСК) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

10.07 12:10 МСК IPBL
Maykop
102:103
Nalchik
08.07 12:10 МСК IPBL
Maykop
94:90
Nalchik