IPBL
IPBL International
12.07.2026 20:00 MSK
Finished

IPBL

Moscow - Plavsk

International Basketball
Moscow
Moscow
83 : 90
Finished
Plavsk
Plavsk

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Moscow - Plavsk 12 июля 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Plavsk. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 7.70 / 2 1.05

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 12.0%
2 88.0%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 12.07.2026 20:00 MSK
Match center

Moscow - Plavsk

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.05 Fonbet · line only
1 7.70 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.72 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 2.00 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 2.20 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 177.5 1.63 Fonbet · line only
Over 178.5 1.87 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
П2 +0.5 1.60 62.5%
П2 +1.5 1.70 58.8%
П2 +10.5 2.03 49.3%
П2 +11.5 2.40 41.7%
П2 +12.5 1.77 56.5%
П2 +13.5 1.94 51.6%
П2 +14.5 2.15 46.5%
П2 -0.5 1.72 58.1%
П2 -1.5 1.65 60.6%
П2 -10.5 1.67 59.9%
П2 -2.5 1.90 52.6%
П2 -3.5 1.77 56.5%
П2 -4.5 1.68 59.5%
П2 -5.5 2.03 49.3%
П2 -6.5 2.10 47.6%
П2 -7.5 1.95 51.3%
П2 -8.5 1.85 54.1%
П2 -9.5 1.75 57.1%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
ТБ 177.5 1.63 61.4%
ТБ 178.5 1.87 53.5%
ТБ 179.5 1.62 61.7%
ТБ 180.5 1.80 55.6%
ТБ 181.5 2.03 49.3%
ТБ 182.5 2.30 43.5%
ТБ 183.5 2.65 37.7%
ТБ 184.5 1.87 53.5%
ТБ 185.5 2.10 47.6%
ТБ 186.5 2.35 42.6%
ТБ 187.5 2.00 50.0%
ТБ 188.5 2.23 44.8%
ТБ 189.5 2.52 39.7%
ТБ 190.5 2.45 40.8%
ТБ 191.5 2.03 49.3%
ТБ 192.5 2.15 46.5%
ТБ 193.5 1.83 54.6%
ТБ 194.5 1.93 51.8%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
П1 7.70 13.0%
П2 1.05 95.2%
Match center
Moscow
W L L L L
12.07 19:00 МСК IPBL
Moscow 100:81 Kaliningrad
10.07 22:00 МСК IPBL
Moscow 83:89 Voronezh
10.07 20:00 МСК IPBL
Moscow 96:106 Plavsk
10.07 19:00 МСК IPBL
Moscow 88:93 Kaliningrad
08.07 22:00 МСК IPBL
Moscow 110:114 Voronezh
1 Wins
4 Losses
95.4 Scored
96.6 Conceded
20% Win percentage
Plavsk
L W W L L
12.07 18:00 МСК IPBL
Plavsk 88:93 Voronezh
10.07 23:00 МСК IPBL
Plavsk 89:75 Kaliningrad
10.07 20:00 МСК IPBL
Plavsk 106:96 Moskva
10.07 18:00 МСК IPBL
Plavsk 89:96 Voronezh
08.07 23:00 МСК IPBL
Plavsk 97:99 Kaliningrad
2 Wins
3 Losses
93.8 Scored
91.8 Conceded
40% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMoscow - Plavsk

Moscow
2 matches total
Plavsk
Moscow: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Plavsk: 2 (100%)
Biggest win Plavsk 101:116 (08.07 20:00 МСК) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 217 goals (101:116, 08.07 20:00 МСК) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

10.07 20:00 МСК IPBL
Moskva
96:106
Plavsk
08.07 20:00 МСК IPBL
Moskva
101:116
Plavsk