IPBL
IPBL International
12.07.2026 19:00 MSK
Finished

IPBL

Murino (zh) - Norilsk (zh)

International Basketball
Murino (zh)
Murino (zh)
73 : 82
Finished
Norilsk (zh)
Norilsk (zh)

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Murino (zh) - Norilsk (zh) 12 июля 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Norilsk (zh). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 3.45 / 2 1.26

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.4%
1 26.8%
2 73.2%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 12.07.2026 19:00 MSK
Match center

Murino (zh) - Norilsk (zh)

Form 4/3 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.26 Fonbet · line only
1 3.45 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 144.5 1.46 Fonbet · line only
Over 145.5 1.58 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
П2 +0.5 1.85 54.1%
П2 +1.5 1.55 64.5%
П2 +10.5 2.23 44.8%
П2 +11.5 2.15 46.5%
П2 +12.5 2.15 46.5%
П2 +13.5 2.40 41.7%
П2 +2.5 1.70 58.8%
П2 +3.5 2.03 49.3%
П2 +4.5 1.80 55.6%
П2 +5.5 2.07 48.3%
П2 +6.5 2.40 41.7%
П2 -0.5 1.85 54.1%
П2 -1.5 1.72 58.1%
П2 -2.5 1.60 62.5%
П2 -3.5 1.75 57.1%
П2 -4.5 1.65 60.6%
П2 -5.5 1.63 61.4%
П2 -6.5 1.68 59.5%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
ТБ 144.5 1.46 68.5%
ТБ 145.5 1.58 63.3%
ТБ 146.5 1.72 58.1%
ТБ 147.5 1.48 67.6%
ТБ 148.5 1.62 61.7%
ТБ 149.5 1.80 55.6%
ТБ 150.5 2.00 50.0%
ТБ 151.5 1.83 54.6%
ТБ 152.5 2.07 48.3%
ТБ 153.5 1.80 55.6%
ТБ 154.5 2.03 49.3%
ТБ 155.5 2.35 42.6%
ТБ 156.5 2.70 37.0%
ТБ 157.5 2.23 44.8%
ТБ 158.5 2.45 40.8%
ТБ 159.5 1.63 61.4%
ТБ 160.5 1.70 58.8%
ТБ 161.5 1.80 55.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
П1 3.45 29.0%
П2 1.26 79.4%
Match center
Murino (zh)
W L L L
10.07 20:05 МСК IPBL
Murino (zh) 91:83 Kaluga (zh)
09.07 21:00 МСК IPBL
Murino (zh) 75:83 VladiEast (zh)
09.07 19:00 МСК IPBL
Murino (zh) 72:93 Norilsk (zh)
07.07 19:00 МСК IPBL
Murino (zh) 62:71 Norilsk (zh)
1 Wins
3 Losses
75.0 Scored
82.5 Conceded
25% Win percentage
Norilsk (zh)
W W W
10.07 21:00 МСК IPBL
Norilsk (zh) 105:90 VladiEast (zh)
09.07 19:00 МСК IPBL
Norilsk (zh) 93:72 Murino (zh)
07.07 19:00 МСК IPBL
Norilsk (zh) 71:62 Murino (zh)
3 Wins
0 Losses
89.7 Scored
74.7 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMurino (zh) - Norilsk (zh)

Murino (zh)
2 matches total
Norilsk (zh)
Murino (zh): 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Norilsk (zh): 2 (100%)
Biggest win Norilsk (zh) 72:93 (09.07 19:00 МСК) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 165 goals (72:93, 09.07 19:00 МСК) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

09.07 19:00 МСК IPBL
Murino (zh)
72:93
Norilsk (zh)
07.07 19:00 МСК IPBL
Murino (zh)
62:71
Norilsk (zh)