IPBL
IPBL International
09.07.2026 15:10 MSK
Finished

IPBL

Nalchik - Saratov

International Basketball
Nalchik
Nalchik
61 : 68
Finished
Saratov
Saratov

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Nalchik - Saratov 9 июля 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Saratov. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 4.00 / 2 1.20

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.3%
1 23.1%
2 76.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 09.07.2026 15:10 MSK
Match center

Nalchik - Saratov

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.20 Fonbet · line only
1 4.00 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.20 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 2.20 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 153.5 1.43 Fonbet · line only
Over 154.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

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bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
П2 +0.5 2.20 45.5%
П2 +1.5 1.68 59.5%
П2 +10.5 2.00 50.0%
П2 +11.5 2.15 46.5%
П2 -0.5 2.20 45.5%
П2 -1.5 1.90 52.6%
П2 -10.5 1.94 51.6%
П2 -11.5 1.85 54.1%
П2 -12.5 1.77 56.5%
П2 -13.5 1.68 59.5%
П2 -2.5 1.65 60.6%
П2 -3.5 1.48 67.6%
П2 -4.5 2.13 47.0%
П2 -5.5 2.00 50.0%
П2 -6.5 1.90 52.6%
П2 -7.5 1.80 55.6%
П2 -8.5 1.70 58.8%
П2 -9.5 2.05 48.8%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
ТБ 153.5 1.43 69.9%
ТБ 154.5 1.55 64.5%
ТБ 155.5 1.72 58.1%
ТБ 156.5 1.90 52.6%
ТБ 157.5 2.15 46.5%
ТБ 158.5 2.45 40.8%
ТБ 159.5 1.83 54.6%
ТБ 160.5 2.00 50.0%
ТБ 161.5 1.43 69.9%
ТБ 162.5 1.57 63.7%
ТБ 163.5 1.75 57.1%
ТБ 164.5 1.72 58.1%
ТБ 165.5 2.00 50.0%
ТБ 166.5 2.52 39.7%
ТБ 167.5 1.55 64.5%
ТБ 168.5 1.67 59.9%
ТБ 169.5 1.83 54.6%
ТБ 170.5 2.00 50.0%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
П1 4.00 25.0%
П2 1.20 83.3%
Match center
Nalchik
L L
08.07 12:10 МСК IPBL
Nalchik 90:94 Maykop
07.07 15:10 МСК IPBL
Nalchik 70:91 Saratov
0 Wins
2 Losses
80.0 Scored
92.5 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Saratov
L W
08.07 13:10 МСК IPBL
Saratov 74:92 Belgorod
07.07 15:10 МСК IPBL
Saratov 91:70 Nalchik
1 Wins
1 Losses
82.5 Scored
81.0 Conceded
50% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyNalchik - Saratov

Nalchik
1 matches total
Saratov
Nalchik: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Saratov: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Saratov 70:91 (07.07 15:10 МСК) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 161 goals (70:91, 07.07 15:10 МСК) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

07.07 15:10 МСК IPBL
Nalchik
70:91
Saratov