PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
IPBL
IPBL International
15.07.2026 15:10 MSK Match prediction
15.07.2026 15:10 MSK
Finished

IPBL

Nalchik - Saratov

International Basketball
Nalchik
Nalchik
92 : 106
Finished
Saratov
Saratov
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Saratov — 65%

1 · Nalchik34.7%
market15%
2 · Saratov ✓ Прогноз65.3%
market85%

Model estimate: win Nalchik 34.7%, win Saratov 65.3%. Model favourite — Saratov.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Nalchik - Saratov 15 июля 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Saratov.

Line favourite Fonbet: Saratov. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 6.10 / 2 1.09
  • Glicko: Nalchik 34.7% / Saratov 65.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1%
1 15.2%
2 ✓ Прогноз 84.8%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Победитель П1 2.23 ↑ 2.80
Победитель П2 1.58 ↓ 1.38

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: 100 RUB

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 15.07.2026 15:10 MSK
Form 6 matches
H2H 3
Match center

Nalchik - Saratov

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников и 3 очных встреч.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview
More needed
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 92:106
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Nalchik 33.0% 34.7%
Saratov 67.0% 65.3% market and model agree
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 34.7% / 65.3% probabilities
Rating 1,160 / 1,590 Nalchik / Saratov
RD 89 / 92 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 982-1,338 / 1,405-1,774 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.09 Fonbet · no value · model 65.3%
1 6.10 Fonbet · no value · model 34.7%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 185.5 1.62 Fonbet · line only
Over 186.5 1.72 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
П2 +0.5 1.90 52.6%
П2 +1.5 1.65 60.6%
П2 +10.5 1.95 51.3%
П2 +11.5 2.00 50.0%
П2 +12.5 2.30 43.5%
П2 +13.5 2.00 50.0%
П2 +14.5 2.23 44.8%
П2 +15.5 1.58 63.3%
П2 +16.5 1.75 57.1%
П2 +17.5 1.93 51.8%
П2 +18.5 2.20 45.5%
П2 +19.5 2.45 40.8%
П2 +2.5 1.75 57.1%
П2 +20.5 2.40 41.7%
П2 +3.5 1.62 61.7%
П2 -0.5 1.90 52.6%
П2 -1.5 1.80 55.6%
П2 -2.5 1.70 58.8%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
ТБ 185.5 1.62 61.7%
ТБ 186.5 1.72 58.1%
ТБ 187.5 1.60 62.5%
ТБ 188.5 1.65 60.6%
ТБ 189.5 1.72 58.1%
ТБ 190.5 1.80 55.6%
ТБ 191.5 1.90 52.6%
ТБ 192.5 2.00 50.0%
ТБ 193.5 2.10 47.6%
ТБ 194.5 1.90 52.6%
ТБ 195.5 1.60 62.5%
ТБ 196.5 1.68 59.5%
ТБ 197.5 1.80 55.6%
ТБ 198.5 1.90 52.6%
ТБ 199.5 2.03 49.3%
ТБ 200.5 1.68 59.5%
ТБ 201.5 1.93 51.8%
ТБ 202.5 1.76 56.8%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
П1 6.10 16.4%
П2 1.09 91.7%
Match center
Nalchik
L L L W L
15.07 12:10 МСК IPBL
Nalchik 85:94 Maykop
13.07 15:10 МСК IPBL
Nalchik 93:108 Saratov
13.07 12:10 МСК IPBL
Nalchik 95:97 Maykop
10.07 12:10 МСК IPBL
Nalchik 103:102 Maykop
09.07 15:10 МСК IPBL
Nalchik 61:68 Saratov
1 Wins
4 Losses
87.4 Scored
93.8 Conceded
20% Win percentage
Saratov
L W W W W
15.07 13:10 МСК IPBL
Saratov 102:116 Belgorod
13.07 15:10 МСК IPBL
Saratov 108:93 Nalchik
13.07 13:10 МСК IPBL
Saratov 118:107 Belgorod
10.07 13:10 МСК IPBL
Saratov 105:96 Belgorod
09.07 15:10 МСК IPBL
Saratov 68:61 Nalchik
4 Wins
1 Losses
100.2 Scored
94.6 Conceded
80% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyNalchik - Saratov

Nalchik
3 matches total
Saratov
Nalchik: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Saratov: 3 (100%)
Biggest win Saratov 70:91 (07.07 15:10 МСК) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 201 goals (93:108, 13.07 15:10 МСК) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

13.07 15:10 МСК IPBL
Nalchik
93:108
Saratov
09.07 15:10 МСК IPBL
Nalchik
61:68
Saratov
07.07 15:10 МСК IPBL
Nalchik
70:91
Saratov