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IPBL
IPBL International
16.07.2026 20:10 UTC Match prediction
16.07.2026 20:10 UTC
Finished

IPBL

Nizhnekamsk (w) - Grozny (w)

International Basketball
Nizhnekamsk (w)
Nizhnekamsk (w)
112 : 103
Finished
Grozny (w)
Grozny (w)
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Nizhnekamsk (w) — 52%

1 · Nizhnekamsk (w)52.2%
2 · Grozny (w)47.8%

Model estimate: win Nizhnekamsk (w) 52.2%, win Grozny (w) 47.8%. Model favourite — Nizhnekamsk (w).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Nizhnekamsk (w) - Grozny (w) 16 июля 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Nizhnekamsk (w).

Line favourite Fonbet: Nizhnekamsk (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.03 / 2 9.00
  • Glicko: Nizhnekamsk (w) 52.2% / Grozny (w) 47.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 89.7%
2 10.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Победитель П1 1.80 ↑ 1.93
Победитель П2 1.90 ↓ 1.77

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 16.07.2026 20:10 UTC
Form 3 matches
H2H 1
Match center

Nizhnekamsk (w) - Grozny (w)

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 1 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 2/1 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview
More needed
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 112:103
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Nizhnekamsk (w) 47.8% 52.2% Glicko-противоход
Grozny (w) 52.2% 47.8% market favourite
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 52.2% / 47.8% probabilities
Rating 1,799 / 1,236 Nizhnekamsk (w) / Grozny (w)
RD 280 / 291 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,238-2,359 / 653-1,818 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 9.00 Fonbet · weak value +330.5% · model 47.8%
1 1.03 Fonbet · no value · model 52.2%
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.20 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 2.20 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 188.5 1.63 Fonbet · line only
Over 189.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
П2 +0.5 2.20 45.5%
П2 +1.5 1.90 52.6%
П2 +2.5 2.07 48.3%
П2 -0.5 2.20 45.5%
П2 -1.5 2.35 42.6%
П2 -10.5 2.30 43.5%
П2 -11.5 2.00 50.0%
П2 -12.5 1.76 56.8%
П2 -13.5 1.57 63.7%
П2 -14.5 1.43 69.9%
П2 -2.5 2.10 47.6%
П2 -3.5 1.90 52.6%
П2 -4.5 2.35 42.6%
П2 -5.5 2.07 48.3%
П2 -6.5 2.55 39.2%
П2 -7.5 2.23 44.8%
П2 -8.5 2.10 47.6%
П2 -9.5 1.75 57.1%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
ТБ 188.5 1.63 61.4%
ТБ 189.5 1.70 58.8%
ТБ 190.5 1.77 56.5%
ТБ 191.5 1.85 54.1%
ТБ 192.5 1.63 61.4%
ТБ 193.5 1.70 58.8%
ТБ 194.5 1.77 56.5%
ТБ 195.5 1.85 54.1%
ТБ 196.5 1.94 51.6%
ТБ 197.5 2.05 48.8%
ТБ 201.5 1.63 61.4%
ТБ 202.5 1.70 58.8%
ТБ 203.5 1.80 55.6%
ТБ 204.5 1.62 61.7%
ТБ 205.5 1.70 58.8%
ТБ 206.5 1.77 56.5%
ТБ 207.5 1.87 53.5%
ТБ 208.5 1.95 51.3%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
П1 1.03 97.1%
П2 9.00 11.1%
Match center
Nizhnekamsk (w)
W W
09.07 20:10 UTC IPBL
Nizhnekamsk (w) 108:89 Armavir (zh)
07.07 19:10 UTC IPBL
Nizhnekamsk (w) 105:97 Groznyy (zh)
2 Wins
0 Losses
106.5 Scored
93.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Grozny (w)
L
07.07 19:10 UTC IPBL
Grozny (w) 97:105 Nizhnekamsk (zh)
0 Wins
1 Losses
97.0 Scored
105.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyNizhnekamsk (w) - Grozny (w)

Nizhnekamsk (w)
1 matches total
Grozny (w)
Nizhnekamsk (w): 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Grozny (w): 1 (100%)
Biggest win Nizhnekamsk (zh) 105:97 (07.07 19:10 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 202 goals (105:97, 07.07 19:10 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

07.07 19:10 UTC IPBL
Nizhnekamsk (zh)
105:97
Groznyy (zh)