IPBL
IPBL International
12.07.2026 21:00 UTC
Finished

IPBL

Nizhny Novgorod - Krasnoyarsk

International Basketball
Nizhny Novgorod
Nizhny Novgorod
107 : 112
Finished
Krasnoyarsk
Krasnoyarsk

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Nizhny Novgorod - Krasnoyarsk 12 июля 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Nizhny Novgorod. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.04 / 2 8.50

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.9%
1 89.1%
2 10.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 12.07.2026 21:00 UTC
Match center

Nizhny Novgorod - Krasnoyarsk

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 8.50 Fonbet · line only
1 1.04 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.76 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.76 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.94 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.94 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 192.5 1.57 Fonbet · line only
Over 193.5 1.67 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
П2 +0.5 1.76 56.8%
П2 +1.5 1.87 53.5%
П2 +10.5 1.94 51.6%
П2 +11.5 2.15 46.5%
П2 +12.5 2.30 43.5%
П2 -0.5 1.76 56.8%
П2 -1.5 1.67 59.9%
П2 -10.5 1.52 65.8%
П2 -11.5 2.10 47.6%
П2 -12.5 1.83 54.6%
П2 -2.5 1.68 59.5%
П2 -3.5 2.30 43.5%
П2 -4.5 2.00 50.0%
П2 -5.5 1.80 55.6%
П2 -6.5 2.65 37.7%
П2 -7.5 2.20 45.5%
П2 -8.5 1.90 52.6%
П2 -9.5 1.70 58.8%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
ТБ 192.5 1.57 63.7%
ТБ 193.5 1.67 59.9%
ТБ 194.5 1.76 56.8%
ТБ 195.5 1.87 53.5%
ТБ 196.5 1.60 62.5%
ТБ 197.5 1.72 58.1%
ТБ 198.5 1.83 54.6%
ТБ 199.5 1.55 64.5%
ТБ 200.5 1.65 60.6%
ТБ 201.5 1.46 68.5%
ТБ 202.5 1.58 63.3%
ТБ 203.5 1.76 56.8%
ТБ 204.5 1.47 68.0%
ТБ 205.5 1.62 61.7%
ТБ 206.5 1.77 56.5%
ТБ 207.5 2.00 50.0%
ТБ 208.5 2.25 44.4%
ТБ 209.5 2.65 37.7%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
П1 1.04 96.2%
П2 8.50 11.8%
Match center
Nizhny Novgorod
W L L L L
09.07 23:00 UTC IPBL
Nizhny Novgorod 108:107 Volgograd
09.07 21:00 UTC IPBL
Nizhny Novgorod 97:100 Krasnoyarsk
09.07 02:15 UTC IPBL
Nizhny Novgorod 87:107 Rostov-na-Donu
07.07 23:00 UTC IPBL
Nizhny Novgorod 133:136 Volgograd
07.07 21:00 UTC IPBL
Nizhny Novgorod 83:88 Krasnoyarsk
1 Wins
4 Losses
101.6 Scored
107.6 Conceded
20% Win percentage
Krasnoyarsk
W W W W W
10.07 00:00 UTC IPBL
Krasnoyarsk 113:101 Rostov-na-Donu
09.07 21:00 UTC IPBL
Krasnoyarsk 100:97 Nizhniy Novgorod
09.07 01:17 UTC IPBL
Krasnoyarsk 98:95 Volgograd
08.07 00:00 UTC IPBL
Krasnoyarsk 104:96 Rostov-na-Donu
07.07 21:00 UTC IPBL
Krasnoyarsk 88:83 Nizhniy Novgorod
5 Wins
0 Losses
100.6 Scored
94.4 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyNizhny Novgorod - Krasnoyarsk

Nizhny Novgorod
2 matches total
Krasnoyarsk
Nizhny Novgorod: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Krasnoyarsk: 2 (100%)
Biggest win Krasnoyarsk 83:88 (07.07 21:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 197 goals (97:100, 09.07 21:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

09.07 21:00 UTC IPBL
Nizhniy Novgorod
97:100
Krasnoyarsk
07.07 21:00 UTC IPBL
Nizhniy Novgorod
83:88
Krasnoyarsk