Flashscore
match data
source checked
Odds
match data
source checked
Bookiesapi
match data
source checked
Line depth
match data
source checked
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score
107:115
Events
0
Statistics
0
Lineups
0
Market and Glicko
Basketball math model.
The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Nizhny Novgorod
49.5%
41.1%
Krasnoyarsk
50.5%
58.9%
market and model agree
1X2: 1 Bookies
Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.
Basketball math model
P1 / P2
41.1% / 58.9%
probabilities
Rating
1,453 / 1,690
Nizhny Novgorod / Krasnoyarsk
RD
77 / 74
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
1,299-1,608 / 1,541-1,838
strength interval
HFA: 65
HFA mu: 0.374
MoV: on
N: N=1
P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score
Best value:
P2 | odds 1.83 | edge 8.4% | ROI 7.8% | BetBoom
The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
2.65
Fonbet · weak value +56.1% · model 58.9%
1
1.43
Fonbet · no value · model 41.1%
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.76
Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5
1.76
Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5
1.94
Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5
1.94
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 204.5
1.62
Fonbet · line only
Over 205.5
1.70
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
