IPBL International

15.07.2026 05:10 MSK Match prediction

15.07.2026 05:10 MSK

Finished

IPBL

Nizhny Novgorod - Rostov-on-Don

International Basketball

Nizhny Novgorod

119 : 115

Finished

Rostov-on-Don

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Rostov-on-Don — 56%

1 · Nizhny Novgorod43.5%

2 · Rostov-on-Don ✓ Прогноз56.5%

Model estimate: win Nizhny Novgorod 43.5%, win Rostov-on-Don 56.5%. Model favourite — Rostov-on-Don.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Nizhny Novgorod - Rostov-on-Don 15 июля 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Nizhny Novgorod.

Line favourite Fonbet: Nizhny Novgorod. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.30 / 2 3.20
Glicko: Nizhny Novgorod 43.5% / Rostov-on-Don 56.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%

1 71.1%

2 ✓ Прогноз 28.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Победитель П1 2.70 ↓ 1.06

Победитель П2 1.40 ↑ 7.30

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 15.07.2026 05:10 MSK

Form 6 matches

H2H 3

Match center

Nizhny Novgorod - Rostov-on-Don

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников и 3 очных встреч.

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 2 head-to-head matches

Market 2 model / bookmakers

Flashscore match data source checked

Odds match data source checked

Bookiesapi match data source checked

Line depth match data source checked

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview

More needed

Tournament Championat, Flashscore

Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries

Post-match / PropickAI database

Score 119:115

Events 0

Statistics 0

Lineups 0

Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Nizhny Novgorod 87.3% 43.5% market favourite

Rostov-on-Don 12.7% 56.5% Glicko-противоход

1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Basketball math model

P1 / P2 43.5% / 56.5% probabilities

Rating 1,420 / 1,605 Nizhny Novgorod / Rostov-on-Don

RD 75 / 72 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,269-1,571 / 1,461-1,749 strength interval

HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 3.20 Fonbet · weak value +80.8% · model 56.5%

1 1.30 Fonbet · no value · model 43.5%

Handicap

2 -0.5 2.10 Fonbet · line only

2 +0.5 2.10 Fonbet · line only

1 -0.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only

1 +0.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 195.5 1.57 Fonbet · line only

Over 196.5 1.47 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
П2 -0.5	2.10 47.6%
П2 -1.5	1.90 52.6%
П2 -10.5	1.87 53.5%
П2 -11.5	2.13 47.0%
П2 -12.5	1.83 54.6%
П2 -13.5	2.03 49.3%
П2 -14.5	2.35 42.6%
П2 -15.5	2.05 48.8%
П2 -16.5	1.83 54.6%
П2 -17.5	1.63 61.4%
П2 -18.5	1.48 67.6%
П2 -19.5	1.90 52.6%
П2 -2.5	1.75 57.1%
П2 -3.5	2.20 45.5%
П2 -4.5	2.00 50.0%
П2 -5.5	1.80 55.6%
П2 -6.5	1.63 61.4%
П2 -7.5	1.52 65.8%

Total

Outcome	Fonbet
ТБ 195.5	1.57 63.7%
ТБ 196.5	1.47 68.0%
ТБ 197.5	1.62 61.7%
ТБ 198.5	1.80 55.6%
ТБ 199.5	1.83 54.6%
ТБ 200.5	2.15 46.5%
ТБ 201.5	2.70 37.0%
ТБ 202.5	2.50 40.0%
ТБ 203.5	2.45 40.8%
ТБ 204.5	2.30 43.5%
ТБ 205.5	1.80 55.6%
ТБ 206.5	1.93 51.8%
ТБ 207.5	2.07 48.3%
ТБ 208.5	2.25 44.4%
ТБ 209.5	2.25 44.4%
ТБ 211.5	1.60 62.5%
ТБ 212.5	1.70 58.8%
ТБ 213.5	1.80 55.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Fonbet
П1	1.30 76.9%
П2	3.20 31.3%

Match center

Nizhny Novgorod

L L L W L

15.07 02:00 МСК IPBL

Nizhny Novgorod 123:125 Volgograd

15.07 00:00 МСК IPBL

Nizhny Novgorod 107:115 Krasnoyarsk

13.07 05:00 МСК IPBL

Nizhny Novgorod 103:117 Rostov-na-Donu

13.07 02:00 МСК IPBL

Nizhny Novgorod 102:87 Volgograd

13.07 00:00 МСК IPBL

Nizhny Novgorod 107:112 Krasnoyarsk

1 Wins

4 Losses

108.4 Scored

111.2 Conceded

20% Win percentage

Rostov-on-Don

W W W L W

15.07 03:00 МСК IPBL

Rostov-on-Don 122:121 Krasnoyarsk

15.07 01:00 МСК IPBL

Rostov-on-Don 122:115 Volgograd

13.07 05:00 МСК IPBL

Rostov-on-Don 117:103 Nizhniy Novgorod

13.07 03:00 МСК IPBL

Rostov-on-Don 90:107 Krasnoyarsk

13.07 01:05 МСК IPBL

Rostov-on-Don 124:98 Volgograd

4 Wins

1 Losses

115.0 Scored

108.8 Conceded

80% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyNizhny Novgorod - Rostov-on-Don

Nizhny Novgorod

2 matches total

Rostov-on-Don

Nizhny Novgorod: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Rostov-on-Don: 2 (100%)

Biggest win Rostov-na-Donu 87:107 (09.07 05:15 МСК) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 220 goals (103:117, 13.07 05:00 МСК) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

13.07 05:00 МСК IPBL

Nizhniy Novgorod

103:117

Rostov-na-Donu

09.07 05:15 МСК IPBL

Nizhniy Novgorod

87:107

Rostov-na-Donu