IPBL International

17.07.2026 11:05 UTC Match prediction

17.07.2026 11:05 UTC

Finished

IPBL

Novokuznetsk (w) - Magnitogorsk (w)

International Basketball

Novokuznetsk (w)

100 : 111

Finished

Magnitogorsk (w)

🎯 PropickAI prediction

High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Novokuznetsk (w) — 63%

1 · Novokuznetsk (w) ✓ Прогноз63.1%

market11%

2 · Magnitogorsk (w)36.9%

market89%

Model estimate: win Novokuznetsk (w) 63.1%, win Magnitogorsk (w) 36.9%. Model favourite — Novokuznetsk (w).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Novokuznetsk (w) - Magnitogorsk (w) July 17, 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Magnitogorsk (w).

Line favourite Fonbet: Magnitogorsk (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 8.50 / 2 1.04
Glicko: Novokuznetsk (w) 63.1% / Magnitogorsk (w) 36.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 7.9%

1 ✓ Прогноз 10.9%

2 89.1%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner 1 1.67 ↑ 8.50

Winner 2 2.07 ↓ 1.04

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 17.07.2026 11:05 UTC

Form 6 matches

H2H 3

Match center

Novokuznetsk (w) - Magnitogorsk (w)

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 3 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 3 head-to-head matches

Market 2 model / bookmakers

Flashscore match data source checked

Odds match data source checked

Bookiesapi match data source checked

Line depth match data source checked

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview

More needed

Tournament Championat, Flashscore

Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries

Post-match / PropickAI database

Score 100:111

Events 0

Statistics 0

Lineups 0

Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Novokuznetsk (w) 10.9% 63.1% Glicko contrarian

Magnitogorsk (w) 89.1% 36.9% market favourite

1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model

P1 / P2 63.1% / 36.9% probabilities

Rating 1,444 / 1,207 Novokuznetsk (w) / Magnitogorsk (w)

RD 145 / 147 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,153-1,735 / 913-1,502 strength interval

HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.04 Fonbet · no value · model 36.9%

1 8.50 Fonbet · weak value +436.6% · model 63.1%

Handicap

2 -0.5 2.13 Fonbet · line only

2 +0.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only

1 -0.5 1.63 Fonbet · line only

1 +0.5 2.10 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 195.5 1.67 Fonbet · line only

Over 196.5 1.67 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
	1.65 60.6%
	1.60 62.5%
	1.80 55.6%
	2.00 50.0%
	2.25 44.4%
	1.65 60.6%
	1.80 55.6%
	2.00 50.0%
	2.23 44.8%
	1.70 58.8%
	2.13 47.0%
	2.15 46.5%
	2.03 49.3%
	1.90 52.6%
	1.77 56.5%
	1.68 59.5%
	1.67 59.9%
	1.63 61.4%

Total

Outcome	Fonbet
Over 195.5	1.67 59.9%
Over 196.5	1.67 59.9%
Over 197.5	1.68 59.5%
Over 198.5	1.76 56.8%
Over 199.5	1.65 60.6%
Over 200.5	1.72 58.1%
Over 201.5	1.80 55.6%
Over 202.5	1.65 60.6%
Over 203.5	1.75 57.1%
Over 204.5	1.83 54.6%
Over 205.5	1.67 59.9%
Over 206.5	1.75 57.1%
Over 207.5	1.63 61.4%
Over 208.5	1.72 58.1%
Over 209.5	1.55 64.5%
Over 210.5	1.63 61.4%
Over 211.5	1.72 58.1%
Over 212.5	1.94 51.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Fonbet
	8.50 11.8%
	1.04 96.2%

Match center

Novokuznetsk (w)

L L W W W

17.07 09:00 UTC IPBL

Novokuznetsk (w) 94:105 Bryansk (zh)

15.07 13:05 UTC IPBL

Novokuznetsk (w) 100:109 Izhevsk (zh)

15.07 11:05 UTC IPBL

Novokuznetsk (w) 99:96 Magnitogorsk (zh)

15.07 09:00 UTC IPBL

Novokuznetsk (w) 112:107 Bryansk (zh)

13.07 13:05 UTC IPBL

Novokuznetsk (w) 101:96 Izhevsk (zh)

3 Wins

2 Losses

101.2 Scored

102.6 Conceded

60% Win percentage

Magnitogorsk (w)

W L L L L

17.07 10:00 UTC IPBL

Magnitogorsk (w) 93:74 Izhevsk (zh)

15.07 11:05 UTC IPBL

Magnitogorsk (w) 96:99 Novokuznetsk (zh)

15.07 10:00 UTC IPBL

Magnitogorsk (w) 68:89 Izhevsk (zh)

13.07 14:00 UTC IPBL

Magnitogorsk (w) 109:114 Bryansk (zh)

13.07 11:05 UTC IPBL

Magnitogorsk (w) 112:117 Novokuznetsk (zh)

1 Wins

4 Losses

95.6 Scored

98.6 Conceded

20% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyNovokuznetsk (w) - Magnitogorsk (w)

Novokuznetsk (w)

3 matches total

Magnitogorsk (w)

Novokuznetsk (w): 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Magnitogorsk (w): 3 (100%)

Biggest win Magnitogorsk (zh) 87:94 (10.07 11:05 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 229 goals (117:112, 13.07 11:05 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

15.07 11:05 UTC IPBL

Novokuznetsk (zh)

99:96

Magnitogorsk (zh)

13.07 11:05 UTC IPBL

Novokuznetsk (zh)

117:112

Magnitogorsk (zh)

10.07 11:05 UTC IPBL

Novokuznetsk (zh)

87:94

Magnitogorsk (zh)