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IPBL
IPBL International
15.07.2026 12:00 MSK Match prediction
15.07.2026 12:00 MSK
Finished

IPBL

Novokuznetsk (zh) - Bryansk (zh)

International Basketball
Novokuznetsk (zh)
Novokuznetsk (zh)
112 : 107
Finished
Bryansk (zh)
Bryansk (zh)
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Bryansk (zh) — 55%

1 · Novokuznetsk (zh)45.0%
2 · Bryansk (zh)55.0%

Model estimate: win Novokuznetsk (zh) 45.0%, win Bryansk (zh) 55.0%. Model favourite — Bryansk (zh).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Novokuznetsk (zh) - Bryansk (zh) 15 июля 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Novokuznetsk (zh).

Line favourite Fonbet: Novokuznetsk (zh). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.52 / 2 2.35
  • Glicko: Novokuznetsk (zh) 45.0% / Bryansk (zh) 55.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.3%
1 60.7%
2 39.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Победитель П1 1.90 ↑ 3.00
Победитель П2 1.80 ↓ 1.33

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 15.07.2026 12:00 MSK
Form 6 matches
H2H 3
Match center

Novokuznetsk (zh) - Bryansk (zh)

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников и 3 очных встреч.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview
More needed
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 112:107
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Novokuznetsk (zh) 30.7% 45.0%
Bryansk (zh) 69.3% 55.0% market and model agree
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 45.0% / 55.0% probabilities
Rating 1,459 / 1,615 Novokuznetsk (zh) / Bryansk (zh)
RD 89 / 91 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,282-1,636 / 1,433-1,798 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.35 Fonbet · value +29.1% · model 55.0%
1 1.52 Fonbet · no value · model 45.0%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 2.03 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 2.03 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 177.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only
Over 178.5 1.52 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
П1 +0.5 2.03 49.3%
П1 -0.5 2.03 49.3%
П1 -1.5 1.80 55.6%
П2 +0.5 1.70 58.8%
П2 +1.5 1.65 60.6%
П2 +10.5 2.20 45.5%
П2 +11.5 2.23 44.8%
П2 +12.5 2.10 47.6%
П2 +2.5 1.58 63.3%
П2 +3.5 1.90 52.6%
П2 +4.5 1.60 62.5%
П2 +5.5 1.93 51.8%
П2 +6.5 1.93 51.8%
П2 +7.5 2.25 44.4%
П2 +8.5 2.70 37.0%
П2 +9.5 2.30 43.5%
П2 -0.5 1.70 58.8%
П2 -1.5 1.90 52.6%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
ТБ 177.5 1.55 64.5%
ТБ 178.5 1.52 65.8%
ТБ 179.5 1.68 59.5%
ТБ 180.5 1.85 54.1%
ТБ 181.5 2.05 48.8%
ТБ 182.5 2.30 43.5%
ТБ 183.5 1.48 67.6%
ТБ 184.5 1.63 61.4%
ТБ 185.5 1.85 54.1%
ТБ 186.5 2.07 48.3%
ТБ 187.5 2.40 41.7%
ТБ 188.5 2.80 35.7%
ТБ 189.5 2.07 48.3%
ТБ 190.5 2.25 44.4%
ТБ 191.5 1.77 56.5%
ТБ 192.5 1.90 52.6%
ТБ 193.5 2.05 48.8%
ТБ 194.5 2.23 44.8%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
П1 1.52 65.8%
П2 2.35 42.6%
Match center
Novokuznetsk (zh)
W W W L L
13.07 16:05 МСК IPBL
Novokuznetsk (zh) 101:96 Izhevsk (zh)
13.07 14:05 МСК IPBL
Novokuznetsk (zh) 117:112 Magnitogorsk (zh)
13.07 12:00 МСК IPBL
Novokuznetsk (zh) 82:77 Bryansk (zh)
10.07 16:05 МСК IPBL
Novokuznetsk (zh) 92:95 Izhevsk (zh)
10.07 14:05 МСК IPBL
Novokuznetsk (zh) 87:94 Magnitogorsk (zh)
3 Wins
2 Losses
95.8 Scored
94.8 Conceded
60% Win percentage
Bryansk (zh)
W W L W L
13.07 17:00 МСК IPBL
Bryansk (zh) 114:109 Magnitogorsk (zh)
13.07 15:00 МСК IPBL
Bryansk (zh) 106:88 Izhevsk (zh)
13.07 12:00 МСК IPBL
Bryansk (zh) 77:82 Novokuznetsk (zh)
10.07 17:00 МСК IPBL
Bryansk (zh) 110:93 Magnitogorsk (zh)
10.07 15:00 МСК IPBL
Bryansk (zh) 82:93 Izhevsk (zh)
3 Wins
2 Losses
97.8 Scored
93.0 Conceded
60% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyNovokuznetsk (zh) - Bryansk (zh)

Novokuznetsk (zh)
3 matches total
Bryansk (zh)
Novokuznetsk (zh): 1 (33.3%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Bryansk (zh): 2 (66.7%)
Biggest win Bryansk (zh) 95:109 (08.07 12:00 МСК) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 204 goals (95:109, 08.07 12:00 МСК) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

13.07 12:00 МСК IPBL
Novokuznetsk (zh)
82:77
Bryansk (zh)
10.07 12:00 МСК IPBL
Novokuznetsk (zh)
94:99
Bryansk (zh)
08.07 12:00 МСК IPBL
Novokuznetsk (zh)
95:109
Bryansk (zh)