IPBL International

15.07.2026 16:05 MSK Match prediction

15.07.2026 16:05 MSK

Finished

IPBL

Novokuznetsk (zh) - Izhevsk (zh)

International Basketball

Novokuznetsk (zh)

100 : 109

Finished

Izhevsk (zh)

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Novokuznetsk (zh) — 56%

1 · Novokuznetsk (zh) ✓ Прогноз55.6%

2 · Izhevsk (zh)44.4%

Model estimate: win Novokuznetsk (zh) 55.6%, win Izhevsk (zh) 44.4%. Model favourite — Novokuznetsk (zh).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Novokuznetsk (zh) - Izhevsk (zh) 15 июля 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Izhevsk (zh).

Line favourite Fonbet: Izhevsk (zh). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 4.50 / 2 1.16
Glicko: Novokuznetsk (zh) 55.6% / Izhevsk (zh) 44.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 8.4%

1 ✓ Прогноз 20.5%

2 79.5%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Победитель П1 1.58 ↑ 4.50

Победитель П2 2.23 ↓ 1.16

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 15.07.2026 16:05 MSK

Form 6 matches

H2H 3

Match center

Novokuznetsk (zh) - Izhevsk (zh)

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников и 3 очных встреч.

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 3 head-to-head matches

Market 2 model / bookmakers

Flashscore match data source checked

Odds match data source checked

Bookiesapi match data source checked

Line depth match data source checked

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview

More needed

Tournament Championat, Flashscore

Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries

Post-match / PropickAI database

Score 100:109

Events 0

Statistics 0

Lineups 0

Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Novokuznetsk (zh) 20.5% 55.6% Glicko-противоход

Izhevsk (zh) 79.5% 44.4% market favourite

1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Basketball math model

P1 / P2 55.6% / 44.4% probabilities

Rating 1,521 / 1,481 Novokuznetsk (zh) / Izhevsk (zh)

RD 85 / 91 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,350-1,692 / 1,299-1,664 strength interval

HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.16 Fonbet · no value · model 44.4%

1 4.50 Fonbet · weak value +150.3% · model 55.6%

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.93 Fonbet · line only

2 +0.5 1.93 Fonbet · line only

1 -0.5 1.77 Fonbet · line only

1 +0.5 1.77 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 188.5 1.67 Fonbet · line only

Over 189.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
П1 -0.5	1.77 56.5%
П2 +0.5	1.93 51.8%
П2 +1.5	2.20 45.5%
П2 +2.5	1.95 51.3%
П2 +3.5	1.48 67.6%
П2 +4.5	1.65 60.6%
П2 +5.5	1.90 52.6%
П2 +6.5	2.20 45.5%
П2 +7.5	1.80 55.6%
П2 +8.5	2.13 47.0%
П2 -0.5	1.93 51.8%
П2 -1.5	1.72 58.1%
П2 -2.5	1.57 63.7%
П2 -3.5	1.57 63.7%
П2 -4.5	1.62 61.7%
П2 -5.5	1.58 63.3%
П2 -6.5	1.68 59.5%
П2 -7.5	1.65 60.6%

Total

Outcome	Fonbet
ТБ 188.5	1.67 59.9%
ТБ 189.5	1.75 57.1%
ТБ 190.5	1.83 54.6%
ТБ 191.5	1.90 52.6%
ТБ 192.5	1.68 59.5%
ТБ 193.5	1.76 56.8%
ТБ 194.5	1.85 54.1%
ТБ 195.5	1.68 59.5%
ТБ 196.5	1.75 57.1%
ТБ 197.5	1.65 60.6%
ТБ 198.5	1.65 60.6%
ТБ 199.5	1.62 61.7%
ТБ 200.5	1.70 58.8%
ТБ 201.5	1.80 55.6%
ТБ 202.5	1.52 65.8%
ТБ 203.5	1.58 63.3%
ТБ 204.5	1.50 66.7%
ТБ 205.5	1.65 60.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Fonbet
П1	4.50 22.2%
П2	1.16 86.2%

Match center

Novokuznetsk (zh)

W W W W W

15.07 14:05 МСК IPBL

Novokuznetsk (zh) 99:96 Magnitogorsk (zh)

15.07 12:00 МСК IPBL

Novokuznetsk (zh) 112:107 Bryansk (zh)

13.07 16:05 МСК IPBL

Novokuznetsk (zh) 101:96 Izhevsk (zh)

13.07 14:05 МСК IPBL

Novokuznetsk (zh) 117:112 Magnitogorsk (zh)

13.07 12:00 МСК IPBL

Novokuznetsk (zh) 82:77 Bryansk (zh)

5 Wins

0 Losses

102.2 Scored

97.6 Conceded

100% Win percentage

Izhevsk (zh)

W W L L L

15.07 15:00 МСК IPBL

Izhevsk (zh) 94:87 Bryansk (zh)

15.07 13:00 МСК IPBL

Izhevsk (zh) 89:68 Magnitogorsk (zh)

13.07 16:05 МСК IPBL

Izhevsk (zh) 96:101 Novokuznetsk (zh)

13.07 15:00 МСК IPBL

Izhevsk (zh) 88:106 Bryansk (zh)

13.07 13:00 МСК IPBL

Izhevsk (zh) 96:101 Magnitogorsk (zh)

2 Wins

3 Losses

92.6 Scored

92.6 Conceded

40% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyNovokuznetsk (zh) - Izhevsk (zh)

Novokuznetsk (zh)

3 matches total

Izhevsk (zh)

Novokuznetsk (zh): 1 (33.3%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Izhevsk (zh): 2 (66.7%)

Biggest win Novokuznetsk (zh) 101:96 (13.07 16:05 МСК) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 197 goals (101:96, 13.07 16:05 МСК) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

13.07 16:05 МСК IPBL

Novokuznetsk (zh)

101:96

Izhevsk (zh)

10.07 16:05 МСК IPBL

Novokuznetsk (zh)

92:95

Izhevsk (zh)

07.07 16:05 МСК IPBL

Novokuznetsk (zh)

95:98

Izhevsk (zh)