IPBL International

13.07.2026 11:05 UTC Match prediction

13.07.2026 11:05 UTC

Finished

IPBL

Novokuznetsk (zh) - Magnitogorsk (zh)

International Basketball

Novokuznetsk (zh)

117 : 112

Finished

Magnitogorsk (zh)

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Magnitogorsk (zh) — 54%

1 · Novokuznetsk (zh)45.6%

2 · Magnitogorsk (zh)54.4%

Model estimate: win Novokuznetsk (zh) 45.6%, win Magnitogorsk (zh) 54.4%. Model favourite — Magnitogorsk (zh).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Novokuznetsk (zh) - Magnitogorsk (zh) 13 июля 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Novokuznetsk (zh).

Line favourite Fonbet: Novokuznetsk (zh). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.20 / 2 4.00
Glicko: Novokuznetsk (zh) 45.6% / Magnitogorsk (zh) 54.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 8.3%

1 76.9%

2 23.1%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Победитель П1 1.40 ↓ 1.20

Победитель П2 2.70 ↑ 4.00

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 13.07.2026 11:05 UTC

Form 6 matches

H2H 3

Match center

Novokuznetsk (zh) - Magnitogorsk (zh)

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников и 3 очных встреч.

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 2 head-to-head matches

Market 2 model / bookmakers

Flashscore match data source checked

Odds match data source checked

Bookiesapi match data source checked

Line depth match data source checked

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview

More needed

Tournament Championat, Flashscore

Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries

Post-match / PropickAI database

Score 117:112

Events 0

Statistics 0

Lineups 0

Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Novokuznetsk (zh) 76.9% 45.6% market favourite

Magnitogorsk (zh) 23.1% 54.4% Glicko-противоход

1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Basketball math model

P1 / P2 45.6% / 54.4% probabilities

Rating 1,369 / 1,515 Novokuznetsk (zh) / Magnitogorsk (zh)

RD 93 / 94 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,184-1,555 / 1,327-1,702 strength interval

HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 4.00 Fonbet · weak value +117.4% · model 54.4%

1 1.20 Fonbet · no value · model 45.6%

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only

2 +0.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only

1 -0.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only

1 +0.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 193.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only

Over 194.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
П2 +0.5	1.85 54.1%
П2 +1.5	2.13 47.0%
П2 +10.5	2.03 49.3%
П2 +11.5	2.15 46.5%
П2 +12.5	2.10 47.6%
П2 +2.5	2.30 43.5%
П2 +3.5	2.10 47.6%
П2 -0.5	1.85 54.1%
П2 -1.5	1.63 61.4%
П2 -10.5	1.67 59.9%
П2 -2.5	1.48 67.6%
П2 -3.5	2.03 49.3%
П2 -4.5	1.72 58.1%
П2 -5.5	2.00 50.0%
П2 -6.5	1.65 60.6%
П2 -7.5	1.83 54.6%
П2 -8.5	1.72 58.1%
П2 -9.5	1.65 60.6%

Total

Outcome	Fonbet
ТБ 193.5	1.55 64.5%
ТБ 194.5	1.65 60.6%
ТБ 195.5	1.77 56.5%
ТБ 196.5	1.52 65.8%
ТБ 197.5	1.63 61.4%
ТБ 198.5	1.52 65.8%
ТБ 199.5	1.65 60.6%
ТБ 200.5	1.48 67.6%
ТБ 201.5	1.63 61.4%
ТБ 202.5	1.80 55.6%
ТБ 203.5	2.03 49.3%
ТБ 204.5	2.25 44.4%
ТБ 205.5	2.55 39.2%
ТБ 206.5	2.40 41.7%
ТБ 207.5	2.03 49.3%
ТБ 208.5	2.13 47.0%
ТБ 209.5	2.00 50.0%
ТБ 210.5	2.10 47.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Fonbet
П1	1.20 83.3%
П2	4.00 25.0%

Match center

Novokuznetsk (zh)

W L L L L

13.07 09:00 UTC IPBL

Novokuznetsk (zh) 82:77 Bryansk (zh)

10.07 13:05 UTC IPBL

Novokuznetsk (zh) 92:95 Izhevsk (zh)

10.07 11:05 UTC IPBL

Novokuznetsk (zh) 87:94 Magnitogorsk (zh)

10.07 09:00 UTC IPBL

Novokuznetsk (zh) 94:99 Bryansk (zh)

08.07 09:00 UTC IPBL

Novokuznetsk (zh) 95:109 Bryansk (zh)

1 Wins

4 Losses

90.0 Scored

94.8 Conceded

20% Win percentage

Magnitogorsk (zh)

W L W L W

13.07 10:00 UTC IPBL

Magnitogorsk (zh) 101:96 Izhevsk (zh)

10.07 14:00 UTC IPBL

Magnitogorsk (zh) 93:110 Bryansk (zh)

10.07 11:05 UTC IPBL

Magnitogorsk (zh) 94:87 Novokuznetsk (zh)

10.07 10:00 UTC IPBL

Magnitogorsk (zh) 92:94 Izhevsk (zh)

08.07 10:00 UTC IPBL

Magnitogorsk (zh) 101:95 Izhevsk (zh)

3 Wins

2 Losses

96.2 Scored

96.4 Conceded

60% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyNovokuznetsk (zh) - Magnitogorsk (zh)

Novokuznetsk (zh)

2 matches total

Magnitogorsk (zh)

Novokuznetsk (zh): 1 (50%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Magnitogorsk (zh): 1 (50%)

Biggest win Novokuznetsk (zh) 107:98 (07.07 11:05 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 205 goals (107:98, 07.07 11:05 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

10.07 11:05 UTC IPBL

Novokuznetsk (zh)

87:94

Magnitogorsk (zh)

07.07 11:05 UTC IPBL

Novokuznetsk (zh)

107:98

Magnitogorsk (zh)