IPBL
IPBL International
10.07.2026 06:00 MSK
Finished

IPBL

Novosibirsk - Sochi

International Basketball
Novosibirsk
Novosibirsk
70 : 109
Finished
Sochi
Sochi

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Novosibirsk - Sochi 10 июля 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Sochi. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 5.80 / 2 1.10

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 15.9%
2 84.1%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 10.07.2026 09:00 MSK
Match center

Novosibirsk - Sochi

Form 4/4 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.10 Fonbet · line only
1 5.80 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 178.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only
Over 179.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
П2 +10.5 1.72 58.1%
П2 +11.5 1.85 54.1%
П2 +12.5 2.00 50.0%
П2 +13.5 2.15 46.5%
П2 +14.5 1.87 53.5%
П2 +15.5 1.63 61.4%
П2 +16.5 1.72 58.1%
П2 +17.5 1.58 63.3%
П2 +18.5 1.68 59.5%
П2 +19.5 1.65 60.6%
П2 +2.5 1.67 59.9%
П2 +20.5 1.77 56.5%
П2 +21.5 1.93 51.8%
П2 +22.5 2.10 47.6%
П2 +23.5 2.30 43.5%
П2 +24.5 1.60 62.5%
П2 +25.5 1.58 63.3%
П2 +26.5 1.72 58.1%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
ТБ 178.5 1.50 66.7%
ТБ 179.5 1.75 57.1%
ТБ 180.5 2.00 50.0%
ТБ 181.5 2.07 48.3%
ТБ 182.5 2.40 41.7%
ТБ 183.5 2.80 35.7%
ТБ 184.5 2.65 37.7%
ТБ 185.5 2.13 47.0%
ТБ 186.5 2.40 41.7%
ТБ 187.5 1.87 53.5%
ТБ 188.5 2.05 48.8%
ТБ 189.5 2.30 43.5%
ТБ 190.5 1.80 55.6%
ТБ 191.5 1.95 51.3%
ТБ 192.5 2.15 46.5%
ТБ 193.5 2.35 42.6%
ТБ 194.5 2.15 46.5%
ТБ 195.5 2.35 42.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
П1 5.80 17.2%
П2 1.10 90.9%
Match center
Novosibirsk
L W L W
10.07 03:00 UTC IPBL
Novosibirsk 84:87 Barnaul
08.07 08:00 UTC IPBL
Novosibirsk 111:110 Sankt-PeterburgSankt-Peterburg
08.07 06:00 UTC IPBL
Novosibirsk 95:120 Sochi
08.07 03:00 UTC IPBL
Novosibirsk 98:96 Barnaul
2 Wins
2 Losses
97.0 Scored
103.3 Conceded
50% Win percentage
Sochi
W W W W
10.07 04:00 UTC IPBL
Sochi 103:85 Sankt-PeterburgSankt-Peterburg
08.07 07:00 UTC IPBL
Sochi 125:109 Barnaul
08.07 06:00 UTC IPBL
Sochi 120:95 NovosibirskNovosibirsk
08.07 04:00 UTC IPBL
Sochi 126:92 Sankt-PeterburgSankt-Peterburg
4 Wins
0 Losses
118.5 Scored
95.3 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyNovosibirsk - Sochi

Novosibirsk
1 matches total
Sochi
Novosibirsk: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Sochi: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Sochi 95:120 (08.07 06:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 215 goals (95:120, 08.07 06:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

08.07 06:00 UTC IPBL
Novosibirsk
95:120
Sochi