IPBL
IPBL International
13.07.2026 06:00 UTC
Finished

IPBL

Novosibirsk - Sochi

International Basketball
Novosibirsk
Novosibirsk
86 : 107
Finished
Sochi
Sochi

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Novosibirsk - Sochi July 13, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Novosibirsk. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.43 / 2 2.65

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.7%
1 65.0%
2 35.0%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: 100 RUB

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 13.07.2026 06:00 UTC
Match center

Novosibirsk - Sochi

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.65 Fonbet · line only
1 1.43 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.77 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.77 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.93 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.93 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 173.5 1.48 Fonbet · line only
Over 174.5 1.76 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.77 56.5%
1.90 52.6%
2.15 46.5%
2.10 47.6%
2.07 48.3%
1.76 56.8%
1.87 53.5%
1.80 55.6%
1.77 56.5%
2.10 47.6%
1.75 57.1%
1.87 53.5%
1.62 61.7%
1.67 59.9%
1.52 65.8%
1.80 55.6%
1.70 58.8%
1.60 62.5%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 173.5 1.48 67.6%
Over 174.5 1.76 56.8%
Over 175.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 176.5 1.93 51.8%
Over 177.5 2.20 45.5%
Over 178.5 2.45 40.8%
Over 179.5 2.25 44.4%
Over 180.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 181.5 2.03 49.3%
Over 182.5 2.23 44.8%
Over 183.5 2.07 48.3%
Over 184.5 2.25 44.4%
Over 185.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 186.5 1.93 51.8%
Over 187.5 2.05 48.8%
Over 188.5 2.20 45.5%
Over 189.5 1.76 56.8%
Over 190.5 1.85 54.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.43 69.9%
2.65 37.7%
Match center
Novosibirsk
L L L L W
13.07 03:00 UTC IPBL
Novosibirsk 92:98 Barnaul
10.07 08:00 UTC IPBL
Novosibirsk 107:122 Sankt-PeterburgSankt-Peterburg
10.07 06:00 UTC IPBL
Novosibirsk 70:109 Sochi
10.07 03:00 UTC IPBL
Novosibirsk 84:87 Barnaul
08.07 08:00 UTC IPBL
Novosibirsk 111:110 Sankt-PeterburgSankt-Peterburg
1 Wins
4 Losses
92.8 Scored
105.2 Conceded
20% Win percentage
Sochi
W L W W W
13.07 04:00 UTC IPBL
Sochi 97:94 Sankt-PeterburgSankt-Peterburg
10.07 07:00 UTC IPBL
Sochi 83:89 Barnaul
10.07 06:00 UTC IPBL
Sochi 109:70 NovosibirskNovosibirsk
10.07 04:00 UTC IPBL
Sochi 103:85 Sankt-PeterburgSankt-Peterburg
08.07 07:00 UTC IPBL
Sochi 125:109 Barnaul
4 Wins
1 Losses
103.4 Scored
89.4 Conceded
80% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyNovosibirsk - Sochi

Novosibirsk
2 matches total
Sochi
Novosibirsk: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Sochi: 2 (100%)
Biggest win Sochi 70:109 (10.07 06:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 215 goals (95:120, 08.07 06:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

10.07 06:00 UTC IPBL
Novosibirsk
70:109
Sochi
08.07 06:00 UTC IPBL
Novosibirsk
95:120
Sochi