IPBL International

13.07.2026 18:00 MSK Match prediction

13.07.2026 18:00 MSK

Finished

IPBL

Ouls (zh) - Iguana (w)

International Basketball

Ouls (zh)

119 : 116

Finished

Iguana (w)

🎯 PropickAI prediction

High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Ouls (zh) — 60%

1 · Ouls (zh) ✓ Прогноз60.5%

market86%

2 · Iguana (w)39.5%

market14%

Model estimate: win Ouls (zh) 60.5%, win Iguana (w) 39.5%. Model favourite — Ouls (zh).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Ouls (zh) - Iguana (w) 13 июля 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Ouls (zh).

Line favourite Fonbet: Ouls (zh). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.08 / 2 6.50
Glicko: Ouls (zh) 60.5% / Iguana (w) 39.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 8.0%

1 ✓ Прогноз 85.8%

2 14.2%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Победитель П1 1.30 ↓ 1.08

Победитель П2 3.20 ↑ 6.50

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 13.07.2026 18:00 MSK

Form 6 matches

H2H 3

Match center

Ouls (zh) - Iguana (w)

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников и 3 очных встреч.

Form 4/5 recent games

H2H 2 head-to-head matches

Market 2 model / bookmakers

Flashscore match data source checked

Odds match data source checked

Bookiesapi match data source checked

Line depth match data source checked

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview

More needed

Tournament Championat, Flashscore

Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries

Post-match / PropickAI database

Score 119:116

Events 0

Statistics 0

Lineups 0

Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Ouls (zh) 85.8% 60.5% market and model agree

Iguana (w) 14.3% 39.5%

1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Basketball math model

P1 / P2 60.5% / 39.5% probabilities

Rating 1,483 / 1,337 Ouls (zh) / Iguana (w)

RD 109 / 96 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,265-1,701 / 1,144-1,529 strength interval

HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 6.50 Fonbet · no value · model 39.5%

1 1.08 Fonbet · no value · model 60.5%

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.87 Fonbet · line only

2 +0.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only

1 -0.5 1.83 Fonbet · line only

1 +0.5 2.03 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 212.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only

Over 213.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
П2 -0.5	1.87 53.5%
П2 -1.5	2.10 47.6%
П2 -10.5	2.00 50.0%
П2 -11.5	1.93 51.8%
П2 -12.5	1.67 59.9%
П2 -13.5	1.70 58.8%
П2 -14.5	1.76 56.8%
П2 -15.5	1.95 51.3%
П2 -16.5	1.85 54.1%
П2 -17.5	1.75 57.1%
П2 -2.5	1.76 56.8%
П2 -3.5	1.93 51.8%
П2 -4.5	2.00 50.0%
П2 -5.5	2.25 44.4%
П2 -6.5	1.95 51.3%
П2 -7.5	2.25 44.4%
П2 -8.5	1.90 52.6%
П2 -9.5	1.67 59.9%

Total

Outcome	Fonbet
ТБ 212.5	1.75 57.1%
ТБ 213.5	1.80 55.6%
ТБ 214.5	1.90 52.6%
ТБ 215.5	1.80 55.6%
ТБ 216.5	1.75 57.1%
ТБ 217.5	1.80 55.6%
ТБ 218.5	1.90 52.6%
ТБ 219.5	1.87 53.5%
ТБ 220.5	1.95 51.3%
ТБ 221.5	1.75 57.1%
ТБ 222.5	1.83 54.6%
ТБ 223.5	1.93 51.8%
ТБ 224.5	1.67 59.9%
ТБ 225.5	1.70 58.8%
ТБ 226.5	1.72 58.1%
ТБ 227.5	1.94 51.6%
ТБ 228.5	2.20 45.5%
ТБ 229.5	1.95 51.3%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Fonbet
П1	1.08 92.6%
П2	6.50 15.4%

Match center

Ouls (zh)

L W L W

13.07 15:30 МСК IPBL

Ouls (zh) 111:131 Links (zh)

10.07 15:30 МСК IPBL

Ouls (zh) 99:80 Links (zh)

09.07 18:00 МСК IPBL

Ouls (zh) 41:45 Iguana (zh)

07.07 18:00 МСК IPBL

Ouls (zh) 113:99 Iguana (zh)

2 Wins

2 Losses

91.0 Scored

88.8 Conceded

50% Win percentage

Iguana (w)

L W W L W

13.07 16:45 МСК IPBL

Iguana (w) 88:109 Dolfins (zh)

09.07 21:45 МСК IPBL

Iguana (w) 117:110 Links (zh)

09.07 18:00 МСК IPBL

Iguana (w) 45:41 Ouls (zh)

09.07 16:45 МСК IPBL

Iguana (w) 103:115 Dolfins (zh)

07.07 21:45 МСК IPBL

Iguana (w) 116:93 Links (zh)

3 Wins

2 Losses

93.8 Scored

93.6 Conceded

60% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyOuls (zh) - Iguana (w)

Ouls (zh)

2 matches total

Iguana (w)

Ouls (zh): 1 (50%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Iguana (w): 1 (50%)

Biggest win Ouls (zh) 113:99 (07.07 18:00 МСК) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 212 goals (113:99, 07.07 18:00 МСК) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

09.07 18:00 МСК IPBL

Ouls (zh)

41:45

Iguana (zh)

07.07 18:00 МСК IPBL

Ouls (zh)

113:99

Iguana (zh)