IPBL
IPBL International
15.07.2026 15:00 UTC
Finished

IPBL

Owls (w) - Iguana (w)

International Basketball
Owls (w)
Owls (w)
119 : 95
Finished
Iguana (w)
Iguana (w)
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Owls (w)64%

1 · Owls (w) ✓ Прогноз63.5%
market15%
2 · Iguana (w)36.5%
market85%

Model estimate: win Owls (w) 63.5%, win Iguana (w) 36.5%. Model favourite — Owls (w).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Owls (w) - Iguana (w) 15 июля 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Iguana (w).

Line favourite Fonbet: Iguana (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 6.10 / 2 1.09
  • Glicko: Owls (w) 63.5% / Iguana (w) 36.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1%
1 ✓ Прогноз 15.2%
2 84.8%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Победитель П1 1.35 ↓ 1.05
Победитель П2 2.90 ↑ 7.70

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: 100 RUB

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 15.07.2026 15:00 UTC
Form 6 matches
H2H 3
Match center

Owls (w) - Iguana (w)

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников и 3 очных встреч.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview
More needed
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 119:95
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Owls (w) 88.0% 63.5% market and model agree
Iguana (w) 12.0% 36.5%
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 63.5% / 36.5% probabilities
Rating 1,531 / 1,299 Owls (w) / Iguana (w)
RD 103 / 93 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,326-1,736 / 1,113-1,484 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.09 Fonbet · no value · model 36.5%
1 6.10 Fonbet · weak value +287.5% · model 63.5%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.93 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.93 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.77 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.77 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 192.5 1.76 Fonbet · line only
Over 193.5 1.77 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
П2 -0.5 1.93 51.8%
П2 -1.5 1.77 56.5%
П2 -10.5 1.85 54.1%
П2 -11.5 1.77 56.5%
П2 -12.5 1.85 54.1%
П2 -13.5 1.77 56.5%
П2 -14.5 2.00 50.0%
П2 -15.5 1.85 54.1%
П2 -16.5 1.72 58.1%
П2 -17.5 2.07 48.3%
П2 -18.5 1.90 52.6%
П2 -19.5 1.72 58.1%
П2 -2.5 1.72 58.1%
П2 -20.5 2.00 50.0%
П2 -21.5 1.70 58.8%
П2 -22.5 1.60 62.5%
П2 -23.5 1.75 57.1%
П2 -24.5 1.72 58.1%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
ТБ 192.5 1.76 56.8%
ТБ 193.5 1.77 56.5%
ТБ 194.5 1.90 52.6%
ТБ 195.5 2.00 50.0%
ТБ 196.5 1.87 53.5%
ТБ 197.5 1.95 51.3%
ТБ 198.5 1.72 58.1%
ТБ 199.5 1.83 54.6%
ТБ 200.5 1.60 62.5%
ТБ 201.5 1.87 53.5%
ТБ 202.5 2.00 50.0%
ТБ 203.5 1.80 55.6%
ТБ 204.5 2.10 47.6%
ТБ 205.5 1.72 58.1%
ТБ 206.5 1.90 52.6%
ТБ 207.5 1.67 59.9%
ТБ 208.5 1.87 53.5%
ТБ 209.5 2.10 47.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
П1 6.10 16.4%
П2 1.09 91.7%
Match center
Owls (w)
W W L W L
15.07 12:30 UTC IPBL
Owls (w) 110:107 Links (zh)
13.07 15:00 UTC IPBL
Owls (w) 119:116 Iguana (zh)
13.07 12:30 UTC IPBL
Owls (w) 111:131 Links (zh)
10.07 12:30 UTC IPBL
Owls (w) 99:80 Links (zh)
09.07 15:00 UTC IPBL
Owls (w) 41:45 Iguana (zh)
3 Wins
2 Losses
96.0 Scored
95.8 Conceded
60% Win percentage
Iguana (w)
L L L L W
15.07 13:45 UTC IPBL
Iguana (w) 83:107 Dolfins (zh)
13.07 18:45 UTC IPBL
Iguana (w) 101:110 Links (zh)
13.07 15:00 UTC IPBL
Iguana (w) 116:119 Ouls (zh)
13.07 13:45 UTC IPBL
Iguana (w) 88:109 Dolfins (zh)
09.07 18:45 UTC IPBL
Iguana (w) 117:110 Links (zh)
1 Wins
4 Losses
101.0 Scored
111.0 Conceded
20% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyOwls (w) - Iguana (w)

Owls (w)
3 matches total
Iguana (w)
Owls (w): 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Iguana (w): 3 (100%)
Biggest win Ouls (zh) 113:99 (07.07 15:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 235 goals (119:116, 13.07 15:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

13.07 15:00 UTC IPBL
Ouls (zh)
119:116
Iguana (zh)
09.07 15:00 UTC IPBL
Ouls (zh)
41:45
Iguana (zh)
07.07 15:00 UTC IPBL
Ouls (zh)
113:99
Iguana (zh)