IPBL International

15.07.2026 19:00 MSK Match prediction

15.07.2026 19:00 MSK

Finished

IPBL

Penza (zh) - Staryy Oskol (zh)

International Basketball

Penza (zh)

91 : 79

Finished

Staryy Oskol (zh)

🎯 PropickAI prediction

High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Penza (zh) — 67%

1 · Penza (zh) ✓ Прогноз67.3%

market69%

2 · Staryy Oskol (zh)32.7%

market31%

Model estimate: win Penza (zh) 67.3%, win Staryy Oskol (zh) 32.7%. Model favourite — Penza (zh).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Penza (zh) - Staryy Oskol (zh) 15 июля 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Penza (zh).

Line favourite Fonbet: Penza (zh). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.33 / 2 3.00
Glicko: Penza (zh) 67.3% / Staryy Oskol (zh) 32.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 8.5%

1 ✓ Прогноз 69.3%

2 30.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Победитель П1 1.65 ↓ 1.63

Победитель П2 2.10 ↑ 2.13

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 15.07.2026 19:00 MSK

Form 6 matches

H2H 3

Match center

Penza (zh) - Staryy Oskol (zh)

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников и 3 очных встреч.

Form 4/4 recent games

H2H 2 head-to-head matches

Market 2 model / bookmakers

Flashscore match data source checked

Odds match data source checked

Bookiesapi match data source checked

Line depth match data source checked

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview

More needed

Tournament Championat, Flashscore

Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries

Post-match / PropickAI database

Score 91:79

Events 0

Statistics 0

Lineups 0

Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Penza (zh) 56.7% 67.3% market and model agree

Staryy Oskol (zh) 43.4% 32.7%

1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Basketball math model

P1 / P2 67.3% / 32.7% probabilities

Rating 1,728 / 1,284 Penza (zh) / Staryy Oskol (zh)

RD 151 / 152 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,426-2,030 / 980-1,588 strength interval

HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: P1 | odds 1.63 | edge 10.7% | ROI 9.8% | BetBoom

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 3.00 Fonbet · no value · model 32.7%

1 1.33 Fonbet · no value · model 67.3%

Handicap

2 -0.5 2.30 Fonbet · line only

2 +0.5 2.30 Fonbet · line only

1 -0.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only

1 +0.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 158.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only

Over 159.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
П2 +0.5	2.30 43.5%
П2 +1.5	2.13 47.0%
П2 +2.5	2.25 44.4%
П2 +3.5	1.75 57.1%
П2 +4.5	1.68 59.5%
П2 +5.5	1.77 56.5%
П2 +6.5	1.87 53.5%
П2 +7.5	2.00 50.0%
П2 +8.5	2.10 47.6%
П2 -0.5	2.30 43.5%
П2 -1.5	2.00 50.0%
П2 -2.5	1.95 51.3%
П2 -3.5	1.70 58.8%
П2 -4.5	1.76 56.8%
П2 -5.5	2.07 48.3%
П2 -6.5	1.40 71.4%
П2 -7.5	1.65 60.6%
П2 -8.5	1.58 63.3%

Total

Outcome	Fonbet
ТБ 158.5	1.65 60.6%
ТБ 159.5	1.75 57.1%
ТБ 160.5	1.63 61.4%
ТБ 161.5	1.72 58.1%
ТБ 162.5	1.83 54.6%
ТБ 163.5	1.60 62.5%
ТБ 164.5	1.68 59.5%
ТБ 165.5	1.77 56.5%
ТБ 166.5	1.63 61.4%
ТБ 167.5	1.47 68.0%
ТБ 168.5	1.58 63.3%
ТБ 169.5	1.40 71.4%
ТБ 170.5	1.52 65.8%
ТБ 171.5	1.70 58.8%
ТБ 172.5	1.90 52.6%
ТБ 173.5	2.15 46.5%
ТБ 174.5	2.45 40.8%
ТБ 175.5	2.30 43.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Fonbet
П1	1.33 75.2%
П2	3.00 33.3%

Match center

Penza (zh)

L W W W

11.07 20:05 МСК IPBL

Penza (zh) 85:98 Ivanovo (zh)

11.07 19:00 МСК IPBL

Penza (zh) 87:68 Staryy Oskol (zh)

08.07 20:05 МСК IPBL

Penza (zh) 78:72 Ivanovo (zh)

08.07 19:00 МСК IPBL

Penza (zh) 105:83 Staryy Oskol (zh)

3 Wins

1 Losses

88.8 Scored

80.3 Conceded

75% Win percentage

Staryy Oskol (zh)

L L W L

11.07 21:00 МСК IPBL

Staryy Oskol (zh) 90:92 Kostroma (zh)

11.07 19:00 МСК IPBL

Staryy Oskol (zh) 68:87 Penza (zh)

08.07 21:00 МСК IPBL

Staryy Oskol (zh) 81:70 Kostroma (zh)

08.07 19:00 МСК IPBL

Staryy Oskol (zh) 83:105 Penza (zh)

1 Wins

3 Losses

80.5 Scored

88.5 Conceded

25% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyPenza (zh) - Staryy Oskol (zh)

Penza (zh)

2 matches total

Staryy Oskol (zh)

Penza (zh): 2 (100%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Staryy Oskol (zh): 0 (0%)

Biggest win Penza (zh) 105:83 (08.07 19:00 МСК) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 188 goals (105:83, 08.07 19:00 МСК) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

11.07 19:00 МСК IPBL

Penza (zh)

87:68

Staryy Oskol (zh)

08.07 19:00 МСК IPBL

Penza (zh)

105:83

Staryy Oskol (zh)