IPBL
IPBL International
09.07.2026 21:00 MSK
Finished

IPBL

Ryazan - Salavat

International Basketball
Ryazan
Ryazan
108 : 122
Finished
Salavat
Salavat

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Ryazan - Salavat 9 июля 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Salavat. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 3.00 / 2 1.33

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.5%
1 30.7%
2 69.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 09.07.2026 21:00 MSK
Match center

Ryazan - Salavat

Form 4/4 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.33 Fonbet · line only
1 3.00 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 2.03 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 2.03 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 191.5 1.68 Fonbet · line only
Over 192.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
П2 +0.5 1.70 58.8%
П2 +1.5 1.77 56.5%
П2 +10.5 1.60 62.5%
П2 +11.5 1.72 58.1%
П2 +12.5 1.85 54.1%
П2 +13.5 2.00 50.0%
П2 +14.5 2.20 45.5%
П2 +17.5 1.58 63.3%
П2 +18.5 1.75 57.1%
П2 +19.5 1.93 51.8%
П2 +2.5 1.87 53.5%
П2 +20.5 2.15 46.5%
П2 +21.5 2.40 41.7%
П2 +3.5 1.95 51.3%
П2 +4.5 1.63 61.4%
П2 +5.5 1.75 57.1%
П2 +6.5 1.87 53.5%
П2 -0.5 1.70 58.8%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
ТБ 191.5 1.68 59.5%
ТБ 192.5 1.75 57.1%
ТБ 193.5 1.83 54.6%
ТБ 194.5 1.90 52.6%
ТБ 195.5 2.00 50.0%
ТБ 196.5 1.68 59.5%
ТБ 197.5 1.75 57.1%
ТБ 198.5 1.83 54.6%
ТБ 199.5 1.93 51.8%
ТБ 200.5 2.03 49.3%
ТБ 201.5 2.13 47.0%
ТБ 203.5 1.67 59.9%
ТБ 204.5 1.75 57.1%
ТБ 205.5 1.83 54.6%
ТБ 206.5 1.93 51.8%
ТБ 207.5 2.05 48.8%
ТБ 208.5 2.15 46.5%
ТБ 209.5 1.87 53.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
П1 3.00 33.3%
П2 1.33 75.2%
Match center
Ryazan
W L L W
09.07 19:00 МСК IPBL
Ryazan 94:89 Serov
07.07 23:00 МСК IPBL
Ryazan 97:113 Smolensk
07.07 21:00 МСК IPBL
Ryazan 114:122 Salavat
07.07 19:00 МСК IPBL
Ryazan 110:91 Serov
2 Wins
2 Losses
103.8 Scored
103.8 Conceded
50% Win percentage
Salavat
L W W W
09.07 18:00 МСК IPBL
Salavat 88:102 Smolensk
07.07 22:00 МСК IPBL
Salavat 118:97 Serov
07.07 21:00 МСК IPBL
Salavat 122:114 Ryazan
07.07 18:00 МСК IPBL
Salavat 87:83 Smolensk
3 Wins
1 Losses
103.8 Scored
99.0 Conceded
75% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyRyazan - Salavat

Ryazan
1 matches total
Salavat
Ryazan: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Salavat: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Salavat 114:122 (07.07 21:00 МСК) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 236 goals (114:122, 07.07 21:00 МСК) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

07.07 21:00 МСК IPBL
Ryazan
114:122
Salavat