IPBL
IPBL International
07.07.2026 23:00 MSK
Finished

IPBL

Ryazan - Smolensk

International Basketball
Ryazan
Ryazan
97 : 113
Finished
Smolensk
Smolensk

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Ryazan - Smolensk 7 июля 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Smolensk. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 4.90 / 2 1.14

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1%
1 18.9%
2 81.1%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 07.07.2026 23:00 MSK
Match center

Ryazan - Smolensk

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.14 Fonbet · line only
1 4.90 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.95 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.95 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 193.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only
Over 194.5 1.72 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
П2 +0.5 1.75 57.1%
П2 +1.5 1.85 54.1%
П2 +10.5 1.55 64.5%
П2 +11.5 1.65 60.6%
П2 +12.5 1.80 55.6%
П2 +13.5 1.94 51.6%
П2 +14.5 1.83 54.6%
П2 +15.5 2.15 46.5%
П2 +16.5 1.63 61.4%
П2 -0.5 1.75 57.1%
П2 -1.5 1.63 61.4%
П2 -2.5 1.93 51.8%
П2 -3.5 1.83 54.6%
П2 -4.5 1.72 58.1%
П2 -5.5 1.63 61.4%
П2 -6.5 1.87 53.5%
П2 -7.5 1.77 56.5%
П2 -8.5 1.68 59.5%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
ТБ 193.5 1.65 60.6%
ТБ 194.5 1.72 58.1%
ТБ 195.5 1.80 55.6%
ТБ 196.5 1.87 53.5%
ТБ 197.5 1.95 51.3%
ТБ 198.5 2.05 48.8%
ТБ 202.5 1.67 59.9%
ТБ 203.5 1.75 57.1%
ТБ 204.5 1.83 54.6%
ТБ 205.5 1.46 68.5%
ТБ 206.5 1.58 63.3%
ТБ 207.5 1.72 58.1%
ТБ 208.5 1.87 53.5%
ТБ 209.5 2.07 48.3%
ТБ 210.5 2.30 43.5%
ТБ 211.5 2.23 44.8%
ТБ 212.5 2.05 48.8%
ТБ 213.5 2.23 44.8%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
П1 4.90 20.4%
П2 1.14 87.7%
Match center
Ryazan
L W
07.07 21:00 МСК IPBL
Ryazan 114:122 Salavat
07.07 19:00 МСК IPBL
Ryazan 110:91 Serov
1 Wins
1 Losses
112.0 Scored
106.5 Conceded
50% Win percentage
Smolensk
W L
07.07 20:00 МСК IPBL
Smolensk 84:76 Serov
07.07 18:00 МСК IPBL
Smolensk 83:87 Salavat
1 Wins
1 Losses
83.5 Scored
81.5 Conceded
50% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyRyazan - Smolensk

Ryazan
0 matches total
Smolensk
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history