Match center
Start
11.07.2026 23:00 MSK
11.07.2026 23:00 MSK
Finished
IPBL
Ryazan - Smolensk
89
:
112
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Ryazan - Smolensk 11 июля 2026
Basketball math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Smolensk. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 8.50 / 2 1.04
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner
bookmaker margin 7.9%
1
10.9%
2
89.1%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Ryazan - Smolensk
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
2
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.04
Fonbet · line only
1
8.50
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.77
Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5
1.77
Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5
1.93
Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5
1.93
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 195.5
1.60
Fonbet · line only
Over 196.5
1.67
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| П2 +0.5 | 1.77 56.5% |
| П2 +1.5 | 1.87 53.5% |
| П2 +10.5 | 1.62 61.7% |
| П2 +11.5 | 1.57 63.7% |
| П2 +12.5 | 1.68 59.5% |
| П2 +13.5 | 1.83 54.6% |
| П2 +14.5 | 2.00 50.0% |
| П2 +15.5 | 2.20 45.5% |
| П2 +18.5 | 1.58 63.3% |
| П2 +19.5 | 1.70 58.8% |
| П2 +2.5 | 1.65 60.6% |
| П2 +20.5 | 2.03 49.3% |
| П2 +21.5 | 1.62 61.7% |
| П2 -0.5 | 1.77 56.5% |
| П2 -1.5 | 1.68 59.5% |
| П2 -2.5 | 1.85 54.1% |
| П2 -3.5 | 1.76 56.8% |
| П2 -4.5 | 1.68 59.5% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| ТБ 195.5 | 1.60 62.5% |
| ТБ 196.5 | 1.67 59.9% |
| ТБ 197.5 | 1.48 67.6% |
| ТБ 198.5 | 1.77 56.5% |
| ТБ 199.5 | 2.05 48.8% |
| ТБ 200.5 | 1.76 56.8% |
| ТБ 201.5 | 1.95 51.3% |
| ТБ 202.5 | 2.25 44.4% |
| ТБ 203.5 | 2.65 37.7% |
| ТБ 204.5 | 2.65 37.7% |
| ТБ 205.5 | 2.30 43.5% |
| ТБ 206.5 | 1.87 53.5% |
| ТБ 207.5 | 2.03 49.3% |
| ТБ 208.5 | 2.20 45.5% |
| ТБ 209.5 | 1.83 54.6% |
| ТБ 210.5 | 1.95 51.3% |
| ТБ 211.5 | 2.13 47.0% |
| ТБ 212.5 | 2.30 43.5% |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| П1 | 8.50 11.8% |
| П2 | 1.04 96.2% |
Match center
Ryazan
L
L
L
W
L
Ryazan
95:122
Salavat
Ryazan
91:101
Smolensk
Ryazan
108:122
Salavat
Ryazan
94:89
Serov
Ryazan
97:113
Smolensk
1
Wins
4
Losses
97.0
Scored
109.4
Conceded
20%
Win percentage
Smolensk
W
L
W
W
W
Smolensk
105:101
Serov
Smolensk
98:114
Salavat
Smolensk
101:91
Ryazan
Smolensk
79:72
Serov
Smolensk
102:88
Salavat
4
Wins
1
Losses
97.0
Scored
93.2
Conceded
80%
Win percentage
Match center
Full head-to-head historyRyazan - Smolensk
Ryazan
2
matches total
Ryazan: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Smolensk: 2 (100%)
Biggest win
Smolensk 97:113 (07.07 23:00 МСК)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
210 goals (97:113, 07.07 23:00 МСК)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
Ryazan
91:101
Smolensk
Ryazan
97:113
Smolensk