IPBL International

13.07.2026 08:00 UTC Match prediction

13.07.2026 08:00 UTC

Finished

IPBL

Saint Petersburg - Novosibirsk

International Basketball

Saint Petersburg

108 : 107

Finished

Novosibirsk

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Saint Petersburg — 54%

1 · Saint Petersburg54.4%

2 · Novosibirsk45.6%

Model estimate: win Saint Petersburg 54.4%, win Novosibirsk 45.6%. Model favourite — Saint Petersburg.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Saint Petersburg - Novosibirsk 13 июля 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Novosibirsk.

Line favourite Fonbet: Novosibirsk. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 8.50 / 2 1.04
Glicko: Saint Petersburg 54.4% / Novosibirsk 45.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 7.9%

1 10.9%

2 89.1%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Победитель П1 1.77 ↑ 8.50

Победитель П2 1.93 ↓ 1.04

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 13.07.2026 08:00 UTC

Form 6 matches

H2H 3

Match center

Saint Petersburg - Novosibirsk

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников и 3 очных встреч.

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 2 head-to-head matches

Market 2 model / bookmakers

Flashscore match data source checked

Odds match data source checked

Bookiesapi match data source checked

Line depth match data source checked

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview

More needed

Tournament Championat, Flashscore

Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries

Post-match / PropickAI database

Score 108:107

Events 0

Statistics 0

Lineups 0

Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Saint Petersburg 10.9% 54.4% Glicko-противоход

Novosibirsk 89.1% 45.6% market favourite

1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Basketball math model

P1 / P2 54.4% / 45.6% probabilities

Rating 1,280 / 1,265 Saint Petersburg / Novosibirsk

RD 72 / 70 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,137-1,423 / 1,126-1,404 strength interval

HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.04 Fonbet · no value · model 45.6%

1 8.50 Fonbet · weak value +362.5% · model 54.4%

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only

2 +0.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only

1 -0.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only

1 +0.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 180.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only

Over 181.5 1.68 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
П2 +0.5	1.85 54.1%
П2 +1.5	1.95 51.3%
П2 +10.5	2.25 44.4%
П2 +11.5	2.03 49.3%
П2 +12.5	2.25 44.4%
П2 +13.5	1.80 55.6%
П2 +14.5	2.00 50.0%
П2 +15.5	2.20 45.5%
П2 +16.5	2.03 49.3%
П2 +17.5	2.23 44.8%
П2 -0.5	1.85 54.1%
П2 -1.5	1.75 57.1%
П2 -2.5	1.65 60.6%
П2 -3.5	1.76 56.8%
П2 -4.5	1.68 59.5%
П2 -5.5	1.85 54.1%
П2 -6.5	1.76 56.8%
П2 -7.5	1.67 59.9%

Total

Outcome	Fonbet
ТБ 180.5	1.60 62.5%
ТБ 181.5	1.68 59.5%
ТБ 182.5	1.77 56.5%
ТБ 183.5	1.87 53.5%
ТБ 184.5	1.95 51.3%
ТБ 185.5	2.10 47.6%
ТБ 186.5	1.58 63.3%
ТБ 187.5	1.67 59.9%
ТБ 188.5	1.76 56.8%
ТБ 189.5	1.87 53.5%
ТБ 190.5	1.95 51.3%
ТБ 191.5	2.10 47.6%
ТБ 192.5	1.65 60.6%
ТБ 193.5	1.62 61.7%
ТБ 194.5	1.62 61.7%
ТБ 195.5	1.55 64.5%
ТБ 196.5	1.63 61.4%
ТБ 197.5	1.48 67.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Fonbet
П1	8.50 11.8%
П2	1.04 96.2%

Match center

Saint Petersburg

L L W W L

13.07 05:00 UTC IPBL

Saint Petersburg 94:101 Barnaul

13.07 04:00 UTC IPBL

Saint Petersburg 94:97 Sochi

10.07 08:00 UTC IPBL

Saint Petersburg 122:107 Novosibirsk

10.07 05:00 UTC IPBL

Saint Petersburg 117:105 Barnaul

10.07 04:00 UTC IPBL

Saint Petersburg 85:103 Sochi

2 Wins

3 Losses

102.4 Scored

102.6 Conceded

40% Win percentage

Novosibirsk

L L L L L

13.07 06:00 UTC IPBL

Novosibirsk 86:107 Sochi

13.07 03:00 UTC IPBL

Novosibirsk 92:98 Barnaul

10.07 08:00 UTC IPBL

Novosibirsk 107:122 Sankt-Peterburg

10.07 06:00 UTC IPBL

Novosibirsk 70:109 Sochi

10.07 03:00 UTC IPBL

Novosibirsk 84:87 Barnaul

0 Wins

5 Losses

87.8 Scored

104.6 Conceded

0% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historySaint Petersburg - Novosibirsk

Saint Petersburg

2 matches total

Novosibirsk

Saint Petersburg: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Novosibirsk: 2 (100%)

Biggest win Sankt-Peterburg 122:107 (10.07 08:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 229 goals (122:107, 10.07 08:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

10.07 08:00 UTC IPBL

Sankt-Peterburg

122:107

Novosibirsk

08.07 08:00 UTC IPBL

Sankt-Peterburg

110:111

Novosibirsk