PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
IPBL
IPBL International
15.07.2026 11:00 MSK Match prediction
15.07.2026 11:00 MSK
Finished

IPBL

Saint Petersburg - Novosibirsk

International Basketball
Saint Petersburg
Saint Petersburg
80 : 91
Finished
Novosibirsk
Novosibirsk
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Saint Petersburg — 57%

1 · Saint Petersburg ✓ Прогноз57.0%
2 · Novosibirsk43.0%

Model estimate: win Saint Petersburg 57.0%, win Novosibirsk 43.0%. Model favourite — Saint Petersburg.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Saint Petersburg - Novosibirsk 15 июля 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Novosibirsk.

Line favourite Fonbet: Novosibirsk. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 4.00 / 2 1.20
  • Glicko: Saint Petersburg 57.0% / Novosibirsk 43.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.3%
1 ✓ Прогноз 23.1%
2 76.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Победитель П1 1.63 ↑ 3.20
Победитель П2 2.13 ↓ 1.30

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: 100 RUB

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 15.07.2026 11:00 MSK
Form 6 matches
H2H 3
Match center

Saint Petersburg - Novosibirsk

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников и 3 очных встреч.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview
More needed
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 80:91
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Saint Petersburg 28.9% 57.0% Glicko-противоход
Novosibirsk 71.1% 43.0% market favourite
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 57.0% / 43.0% probabilities
Rating 1,310 / 1,245 Saint Petersburg / Novosibirsk
RD 70 / 69 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,170-1,451 / 1,107-1,382 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.20 Fonbet · no value · model 43.0%
1 4.00 Fonbet · weak value +128.2% · model 57.0%
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.03 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 2.03 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 178.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only
Over 179.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
П2 +0.5 2.03 49.3%
П2 +1.5 1.57 63.7%
П2 +10.5 1.95 51.3%
П2 +11.5 2.00 50.0%
П2 +12.5 2.20 45.5%
П2 +13.5 2.23 44.8%
П2 +14.5 2.13 47.0%
П2 +15.5 1.95 51.3%
П2 +16.5 2.10 47.6%
П2 +2.5 1.43 69.9%
П2 +3.5 1.55 64.5%
П2 +4.5 1.75 57.1%
П2 -0.5 2.03 49.3%
П2 -1.5 1.90 52.6%
П2 -2.5 1.77 56.5%
П2 -3.5 1.67 59.9%
П2 -4.5 1.68 59.5%
П2 -5.5 1.65 60.6%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
ТБ 178.5 1.50 66.7%
ТБ 179.5 1.65 60.6%
ТБ 180.5 1.85 54.1%
ТБ 181.5 2.10 47.6%
ТБ 182.5 2.40 41.7%
ТБ 183.5 2.80 35.7%
ТБ 184.5 1.80 55.6%
ТБ 185.5 2.03 49.3%
ТБ 186.5 2.25 44.4%
ТБ 187.5 2.55 39.2%
ТБ 188.5 2.55 39.2%
ТБ 189.5 2.10 47.6%
ТБ 190.5 2.30 43.5%
ТБ 191.5 1.94 51.6%
ТБ 192.5 2.10 47.6%
ТБ 193.5 2.25 44.4%
ТБ 194.5 2.03 49.3%
ТБ 195.5 2.15 46.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
П1 4.00 25.0%
П2 1.20 83.3%
Match center
Saint Petersburg
W L W L L
15.07 08:00 МСК IPBL
Saint Petersburg 109:100 Barnaul
15.07 07:00 МСК IPBL
Saint Petersburg 93:110 Sochi
13.07 11:00 МСК IPBL
Saint Petersburg 108:107 NovosibirskNovosibirsk
13.07 08:00 МСК IPBL
Saint Petersburg 94:101 Barnaul
13.07 07:00 МСК IPBL
Saint Petersburg 94:97 Sochi
2 Wins
3 Losses
99.6 Scored
103.0 Conceded
40% Win percentage
Novosibirsk
L L L L L
15.07 09:00 МСК IPBL
Novosibirsk 98:105 Sochi
15.07 06:00 МСК IPBL
Novosibirsk 77:90 Barnaul
13.07 11:00 МСК IPBL
Novosibirsk 107:108 Sankt-PeterburgSankt-Peterburg
13.07 09:00 МСК IPBL
Novosibirsk 86:107 Sochi
13.07 06:00 МСК IPBL
Novosibirsk 92:98 Barnaul
0 Wins
5 Losses
92.0 Scored
101.6 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historySaint Petersburg - Novosibirsk

Saint Petersburg
3 matches total
Novosibirsk
Saint Petersburg: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Novosibirsk: 3 (100%)
Biggest win Sankt-Peterburg 122:107 (10.07 11:00 МСК) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 229 goals (122:107, 10.07 11:00 МСК) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

13.07 11:00 МСК IPBL
Sankt-Peterburg
108:107
Novosibirsk
10.07 11:00 МСК IPBL
Sankt-Peterburg
122:107
Novosibirsk
08.07 11:00 МСК IPBL
Sankt-Peterburg
110:111
Novosibirsk