IPBL
IPBL International
13.07.2026 04:00 UTC
Finished

IPBL

Saint Petersburg - Sochi

International Basketball
Saint Petersburg
Saint Petersburg
94 : 97
Finished
Sochi
Sochi

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Saint Petersburg - Sochi July 13, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Sochi. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 9.00 / 2 1.03

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 10.3%
2 89.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 13.07.2026 04:00 UTC
Match center

Saint Petersburg - Sochi

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.03 Fonbet · line only
1 9.00 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.95 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.95 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 164.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only
Over 165.5 1.63 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

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bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.95 51.3%
1.80 55.6%
1.60 62.5%
1.70 58.8%
1.55 64.5%
1.62 61.7%
1.75 57.1%
1.87 53.5%
1.58 63.3%
1.70 58.8%
1.83 54.6%
1.95 51.3%
1.94 51.6%
1.93 51.8%
1.67 59.9%
1.80 55.6%
1.60 62.5%
1.45 69.0%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 164.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 165.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 166.5 1.52 65.8%
Over 167.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 168.5 1.48 67.6%
Over 169.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 170.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 171.5 2.03 49.3%
Over 172.5 2.45 40.8%
Over 173.5 2.90 34.5%
Over 174.5 2.25 44.4%
Over 175.5 2.55 39.2%
Over 176.5 2.35 42.6%
Over 177.5 2.23 44.8%
Over 178.5 1.72 58.1%
Over 179.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 180.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 181.5 2.10 47.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
9.00 11.1%
1.03 97.1%
Match center
Saint Petersburg
W W L L W
10.07 08:00 UTC IPBL
Saint Petersburg 122:107 NovosibirskNovosibirsk
10.07 05:00 UTC IPBL
Saint Petersburg 117:105 Barnaul
10.07 04:00 UTC IPBL
Saint Petersburg 85:103 Sochi
08.07 08:00 UTC IPBL
Saint Petersburg 110:111 NovosibirskNovosibirsk
08.07 05:00 UTC IPBL
Saint Petersburg 111:110 Barnaul
3 Wins
2 Losses
109.0 Scored
107.2 Conceded
60% Win percentage
Sochi
L W W W W
10.07 07:00 UTC IPBL
Sochi 83:89 Barnaul
10.07 06:00 UTC IPBL
Sochi 109:70 NovosibirskNovosibirsk
10.07 04:00 UTC IPBL
Sochi 103:85 Sankt-PeterburgSankt-Peterburg
08.07 07:00 UTC IPBL
Sochi 125:109 Barnaul
08.07 06:00 UTC IPBL
Sochi 120:95 NovosibirskNovosibirsk
4 Wins
1 Losses
108.0 Scored
89.6 Conceded
80% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historySaint Petersburg - Sochi

Saint Petersburg
2 matches total
Sochi
Saint Petersburg: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Sochi: 2 (100%)
Biggest win Sochi 92:126 (08.07 04:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 218 goals (92:126, 08.07 04:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

10.07 04:00 UTC IPBL
Sankt-Peterburg
85:103
Sochi
08.07 04:00 UTC IPBL
Sankt-Peterburg
92:126
Sochi