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IPBL
IPBL International
15.07.2026 07:00 MSK Match prediction
15.07.2026 07:00 MSK
Finished

IPBL

Saint Petersburg - Sochi

International Basketball
Saint Petersburg
Saint Petersburg
93 : 110
Finished
Sochi
Sochi
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Sochi — 59%

1 · Saint Petersburg41.2%
market83%
2 · Sochi ✓ Прогноз58.8%
market17%

Model estimate: win Saint Petersburg 41.2%, win Sochi 58.8%. Model favourite — Sochi.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Saint Petersburg - Sochi 15 июля 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Saint Petersburg.

Line favourite Fonbet: Saint Petersburg. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.11 / 2 5.50
  • Glicko: Saint Petersburg 41.2% / Sochi 58.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.3%
1 83.2%
2 ✓ Прогноз 16.8%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Победитель П1 2.23 ↑ 7.70
Победитель П2 1.58 ↓ 1.05

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 15.07.2026 07:00 MSK
Form 6 matches
H2H 3
Match center

Saint Petersburg - Sochi

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников и 3 очных встреч.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview
More needed
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 93:110
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Saint Petersburg 12.0% 41.2%
Sochi 88.0% 58.8% market and model agree
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 41.2% / 58.8% probabilities
Rating 1,288 / 1,520 Saint Petersburg / Sochi
RD 71 / 73 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,146-1,430 / 1,374-1,667 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.50 Fonbet · weak value +223.2% · model 58.8%
1 1.11 Fonbet · no value · model 41.2%
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.13 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.63 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 177.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only
Over 178.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
П2 -0.5 2.13 47.0%
П2 -1.5 2.00 50.0%
П2 -10.5 1.90 52.6%
П2 -11.5 1.95 51.3%
П2 -12.5 1.67 59.9%
П2 -15.5 1.90 52.6%
П2 -16.5 1.65 60.6%
П2 -17.5 1.87 53.5%
П2 -18.5 1.67 59.9%
П2 -19.5 1.50 66.7%
П2 -2.5 2.10 47.6%
П2 -20.5 2.00 50.0%
П2 -21.5 1.80 55.6%
П2 -22.5 1.65 60.6%
П2 -23.5 1.52 65.8%
П2 -24.5 1.60 62.5%
П2 -3.5 1.95 51.3%
П2 -4.5 1.83 54.6%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
ТБ 177.5 1.65 60.6%
ТБ 178.5 1.75 57.1%
ТБ 179.5 1.65 60.6%
ТБ 180.5 1.72 58.1%
ТБ 181.5 1.63 61.4%
ТБ 182.5 1.65 60.6%
ТБ 183.5 1.60 62.5%
ТБ 184.5 1.68 59.5%
ТБ 185.5 1.77 56.5%
ТБ 186.5 1.57 63.7%
ТБ 187.5 1.67 59.9%
ТБ 188.5 1.75 57.1%
ТБ 189.5 1.85 54.1%
ТБ 190.5 1.65 60.6%
ТБ 191.5 1.50 66.7%
ТБ 192.5 1.40 71.4%
ТБ 193.5 1.65 60.6%
ТБ 194.5 1.90 52.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
П1 1.11 90.1%
П2 5.50 18.2%
Match center
Saint Petersburg
W L L W W
13.07 11:00 МСК IPBL
Saint Petersburg 108:107 NovosibirskNovosibirsk
13.07 08:00 МСК IPBL
Saint Petersburg 94:101 Barnaul
13.07 07:00 МСК IPBL
Saint Petersburg 94:97 Sochi
10.07 11:00 МСК IPBL
Saint Petersburg 122:107 NovosibirskNovosibirsk
10.07 08:00 МСК IPBL
Saint Petersburg 117:105 Barnaul
3 Wins
2 Losses
107.0 Scored
103.4 Conceded
60% Win percentage
Sochi
L W W L W
13.07 10:00 МСК IPBL
Sochi 102:111 Barnaul
13.07 09:00 МСК IPBL
Sochi 107:86 NovosibirskNovosibirsk
13.07 07:00 МСК IPBL
Sochi 97:94 Sankt-PeterburgSankt-Peterburg
10.07 10:00 МСК IPBL
Sochi 83:89 Barnaul
10.07 09:00 МСК IPBL
Sochi 109:70 NovosibirskNovosibirsk
3 Wins
2 Losses
99.6 Scored
90.0 Conceded
60% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historySaint Petersburg - Sochi

Saint Petersburg
3 matches total
Sochi
Saint Petersburg: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Sochi: 3 (100%)
Biggest win Sochi 92:126 (08.07 07:00 МСК) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 218 goals (92:126, 08.07 07:00 МСК) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

13.07 07:00 МСК IPBL
Sankt-Peterburg
94:97
Sochi
10.07 07:00 МСК IPBL
Sankt-Peterburg
85:103
Sochi
08.07 07:00 МСК IPBL
Sankt-Peterburg
92:126
Sochi