IPBL
IPBL International
09.07.2026 22:00 MSK
Finished

IPBL

Salavat - Serov

International Basketball
Salavat
Salavat
102 : 111
Finished
Serov
Serov

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Salavat - Serov 9 июля 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Serov. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 5.50 / 2 1.11

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.3%
1 16.8%
2 83.2%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 09.07.2026 22:00 MSK
Match center

Salavat - Serov

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.11 Fonbet · line only
1 5.50 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 189.5 1.63 Fonbet · line only
Over 190.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
П2 +0.5 1.90 52.6%
П2 +1.5 2.03 49.3%
П2 +10.5 1.80 55.6%
П2 +11.5 2.13 47.0%
П2 +12.5 1.55 64.5%
П2 +13.5 1.55 64.5%
П2 +14.5 1.70 58.8%
П2 +15.5 1.85 54.1%
П2 +16.5 2.05 48.8%
П2 +17.5 2.30 43.5%
П2 -0.5 1.90 52.6%
П2 -1.5 1.80 55.6%
П2 -2.5 1.72 58.1%
П2 -3.5 2.03 49.3%
П2 -4.5 1.90 52.6%
П2 -5.5 1.83 54.6%
П2 -6.5 1.72 58.1%
П2 -7.5 1.65 60.6%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
ТБ 189.5 1.63 61.4%
ТБ 190.5 1.70 58.8%
ТБ 191.5 1.80 55.6%
ТБ 192.5 1.90 52.6%
ТБ 193.5 2.00 50.0%
ТБ 194.5 2.13 47.0%
ТБ 195.5 2.00 50.0%
ТБ 196.5 2.07 48.3%
ТБ 197.5 1.62 61.7%
ТБ 198.5 1.70 58.8%
ТБ 199.5 1.77 56.5%
ТБ 200.5 1.65 60.6%
ТБ 201.5 1.75 57.1%
ТБ 202.5 1.85 54.1%
ТБ 203.5 1.95 51.3%
ТБ 204.5 1.60 62.5%
ТБ 205.5 1.68 59.5%
ТБ 206.5 1.77 56.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
П1 5.50 18.2%
П2 1.11 90.1%
Match center
Salavat
W L W W W
09.07 21:00 МСК IPBL
Salavat 122:108 Ryazan
09.07 18:00 МСК IPBL
Salavat 88:102 Smolensk
07.07 22:00 МСК IPBL
Salavat 118:97 Serov
07.07 21:00 МСК IPBL
Salavat 122:114 Ryazan
07.07 18:00 МСК IPBL
Salavat 87:83 Smolensk
4 Wins
1 Losses
107.4 Scored
100.8 Conceded
80% Win percentage
Serov
L L L L L
09.07 20:00 МСК IPBL
Serov 72:79 Smolensk
09.07 19:00 МСК IPBL
Serov 89:94 Ryazan
07.07 22:00 МСК IPBL
Serov 97:118 Salavat
07.07 20:00 МСК IPBL
Serov 76:84 Smolensk
07.07 19:00 МСК IPBL
Serov 91:110 Ryazan
0 Wins
5 Losses
85.0 Scored
97.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historySalavat - Serov

Salavat
1 matches total
Serov
Salavat: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Serov: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Salavat 118:97 (07.07 22:00 МСК) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 215 goals (118:97, 07.07 22:00 МСК) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

07.07 22:00 МСК IPBL
Salavat
118:97
Serov