Match center
Start
11.07.2026 22:00 MSK
11.07.2026 22:00 MSK
Finished
IPBL
Salavat - Serov
105
:
111
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Salavat - Serov 11 июля 2026
Basketball math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Serov. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 4.40 / 2 1.17
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner
bookmaker margin 8.2%
1
21.0%
2
79.0%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Salavat - Serov
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
2
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.17
Fonbet · line only
1
4.40
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.80
Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5
1.80
Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5
1.90
Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5
1.90
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 197.5
1.68
Fonbet · line only
Over 198.5
1.67
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| П2 +0.5 | 1.80 55.6% |
| П2 +1.5 | 1.55 64.5% |
| П2 +10.5 | 2.10 47.6% |
| П2 +11.5 | 1.93 51.8% |
| П2 +12.5 | 2.05 48.8% |
| П2 +2.5 | 1.47 68.0% |
| П2 +3.5 | 1.67 59.9% |
| П2 +4.5 | 1.95 51.3% |
| П2 +5.5 | 1.87 53.5% |
| П2 -0.5 | 1.80 55.6% |
| П2 -1.5 | 1.67 59.9% |
| П2 -2.5 | 1.77 56.5% |
| П2 -3.5 | 1.67 59.9% |
| П2 -4.5 | 1.68 59.5% |
| П2 -5.5 | 1.70 58.8% |
| П2 -6.5 | 1.62 61.7% |
| П2 -7.5 | 1.77 56.5% |
| П2 -8.5 | 1.68 59.5% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| ТБ 197.5 | 1.68 59.5% |
| ТБ 198.5 | 1.67 59.9% |
| ТБ 199.5 | 1.75 57.1% |
| ТБ 200.5 | 1.83 54.6% |
| ТБ 201.5 | 1.93 51.8% |
| ТБ 202.5 | 2.03 49.3% |
| ТБ 203.5 | 1.68 59.5% |
| ТБ 204.5 | 1.65 60.6% |
| ТБ 205.5 | 1.60 62.5% |
| ТБ 206.5 | 1.68 59.5% |
| ТБ 207.5 | 1.77 56.5% |
| ТБ 208.5 | 1.87 53.5% |
| ТБ 209.5 | 1.58 63.3% |
| ТБ 210.5 | 1.55 64.5% |
| ТБ 211.5 | 1.65 60.6% |
| ТБ 212.5 | 1.40 71.4% |
| ТБ 213.5 | 1.52 65.8% |
| ТБ 214.5 | 1.43 69.9% |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| П1 | 4.40 22.7% |
| П2 | 1.17 85.5% |
Match center
Salavat
W
W
L
W
L
Salavat
122:95
Ryazan
Salavat
114:98
Smolensk
Salavat
102:111
Serov
Salavat
122:108
Ryazan
Salavat
88:102
Smolensk
3
Wins
2
Losses
109.6
Scored
102.8
Conceded
60%
Win percentage
Serov
L
W
L
L
L
Serov
101:105
Smolensk
Serov
111:102
Salavat
Serov
72:79
Smolensk
Serov
89:94
Ryazan
Serov
97:118
Salavat
1
Wins
4
Losses
94.0
Scored
99.6
Conceded
20%
Win percentage
Match center
Full head-to-head historySalavat - Serov
Salavat
2
matches total
Salavat: 1 (50%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Serov: 1 (50%)
Biggest win
Salavat 118:97 (07.07 22:00 МСК)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
215 goals (118:97, 07.07 22:00 МСК)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
Salavat
102:111
Serov
Salavat
118:97
Serov