IPBL
IPBL International
09.07.2026 15:00 UTC
Finished

IPBL

Salavat - Smolensk

International Basketball
Salavat
Salavat
88 : 102
Finished
Smolensk
Smolensk

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Salavat - Smolensk July 9, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Smolensk. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 3.40 / 2 1.27

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 27.2%
2 72.8%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 09.07.2026 15:00 UTC
Match center

Salavat - Smolensk

Form 3/3 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.27 Fonbet · line only
1 3.40 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 164.5 1.67 Fonbet · line only
Over 165.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

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bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.90 52.6%
2.05 48.8%
1.58 63.3%
1.75 57.1%
1.95 51.3%
1.72 58.1%
1.90 52.6%
1.77 56.5%
1.70 58.8%
1.60 62.5%
1.67 59.9%
1.68 59.5%
2.00 50.0%
2.10 47.6%
1.95 51.3%
2.10 47.6%
1.94 51.6%
1.83 54.6%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 164.5 1.67 59.9%
Over 165.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 166.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 167.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 168.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 169.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 170.5 1.67 59.9%
Over 171.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 172.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 173.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 174.5 2.03 49.3%
Over 175.5 2.13 47.0%
Over 176.5 1.58 63.3%
Over 177.5 1.68 59.5%
Over 178.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 179.5 1.93 51.8%
Over 180.5 2.07 48.3%
Over 181.5 2.25 44.4%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
3.40 29.4%
1.27 78.7%
Match center
Salavat
W W W
07.07 19:00 UTC IPBL
Salavat 118:97 Serov
07.07 18:00 UTC IPBL
Salavat 122:114 Ryazan
07.07 15:00 UTC IPBL
Salavat 87:83 Smolensk
3 Wins
0 Losses
109.0 Scored
98.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Smolensk
W W L
07.07 20:00 UTC IPBL
Smolensk 113:97 Ryazan
07.07 17:00 UTC IPBL
Smolensk 84:76 Serov
07.07 15:00 UTC IPBL
Smolensk 83:87 Salavat
2 Wins
1 Losses
93.3 Scored
86.7 Conceded
67% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historySalavat - Smolensk

Salavat
1 matches total
Smolensk
Salavat: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Smolensk: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Salavat 87:83 (07.07 15:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 170 goals (87:83, 07.07 15:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

07.07 15:00 UTC IPBL
Salavat
87:83
Smolensk