IPBL
IPBL International
09.07.2026 12:00 MSK
Finished

IPBL

Samara - Krasnodar

International Basketball
Samara
Samara
97 : 76
Finished
Krasnodar
Krasnodar

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Samara - Krasnodar 9 июля 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Samara. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.12 / 2 5.30

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 82.6%
2 17.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 09.07.2026 12:00 MSK
Match center

Samara - Krasnodar

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.30 Fonbet · line only
1 1.12 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.25 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 2.25 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.57 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.57 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 147.5 1.43 Fonbet · line only
Over 148.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

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bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
П2 -0.5 2.25 44.4%
П2 -1.5 2.00 50.0%
П2 -10.5 1.75 57.1%
П2 -11.5 1.55 64.5%
П2 -12.5 1.40 71.4%
П2 -13.5 2.10 47.6%
П2 -14.5 1.95 51.3%
П2 -15.5 2.10 47.6%
П2 -16.5 1.93 51.8%
П2 -17.5 1.83 54.6%
П2 -18.5 1.72 58.1%
П2 -19.5 2.07 48.3%
П2 -2.5 2.20 45.5%
П2 -20.5 1.77 56.5%
П2 -21.5 2.05 48.8%
П2 -22.5 1.87 53.5%
П2 -23.5 1.70 58.8%
П2 -24.5 1.57 63.7%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
ТБ 147.5 1.43 69.9%
ТБ 148.5 1.60 62.5%
ТБ 149.5 1.80 55.6%
ТБ 150.5 2.03 49.3%
ТБ 151.5 2.35 42.6%
ТБ 152.5 2.80 35.7%
ТБ 153.5 1.57 63.7%
ТБ 154.5 1.72 58.1%
ТБ 155.5 1.93 51.8%
ТБ 156.5 2.20 45.5%
ТБ 157.5 2.50 40.0%
ТБ 158.5 1.68 59.5%
ТБ 159.5 1.87 53.5%
ТБ 160.5 2.07 48.3%
ТБ 161.5 2.35 42.6%
ТБ 162.5 2.65 37.7%
ТБ 163.5 2.20 45.5%
ТБ 164.5 2.40 41.7%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
П1 1.12 89.3%
П2 5.30 18.9%
Match center
Samara
L W
07.07 16:00 МСК IPBL
Samara 97:104 Tyumen
07.07 14:00 МСК IPBL
Samara 102:95 Kazan
1 Wins
1 Losses
99.5 Scored
99.5 Conceded
50% Win percentage
Krasnodar
L L
07.07 17:00 МСК IPBL
Krasnodar 93:112 Kazan
07.07 15:00 МСК IPBL
Krasnodar 114:116 Tyumen
0 Wins
2 Losses
103.5 Scored
114.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historySamara - Krasnodar

Samara
0 matches total
Krasnodar
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history