Match center
Start
09.07.2026 16:00 MSK
09.07.2026 16:00 MSK
Finished
IPBL
Samara - Tyumen
83
:
91
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Samara - Tyumen 9 июля 2026
Basketball math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Samara. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.08 / 2 6.50
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner
bookmaker margin 8.0%
1
85.8%
2
14.2%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Samara - Tyumen
Form
4/4
recent games
H2H
1
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
6.50
Fonbet · line only
1
1.08
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
2.52
Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5
1.77
Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5
1.46
Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5
1.93
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 156.5
1.43
Fonbet · line only
Over 157.5
1.60
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| П2 +0.5 | 1.77 56.5% |
| П2 +1.5 | 1.95 51.3% |
| П2 +10.5 | 1.93 51.8% |
| П2 +11.5 | 2.10 47.6% |
| П2 +2.5 | 2.23 44.8% |
| П2 +3.5 | 1.80 55.6% |
| П2 -0.5 | 2.52 39.7% |
| П2 -1.5 | 2.20 45.5% |
| П2 -10.5 | 1.72 58.1% |
| П2 -11.5 | 1.65 60.6% |
| П2 -2.5 | 2.45 40.8% |
| П2 -3.5 | 2.13 47.0% |
| П2 -4.5 | 2.23 44.8% |
| П2 -5.5 | 1.85 54.1% |
| П2 -6.5 | 1.60 62.5% |
| П2 -7.5 | 1.87 53.5% |
| П2 -8.5 | 1.68 59.5% |
| П2 -9.5 | 1.52 65.8% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| ТБ 156.5 | 1.43 69.9% |
| ТБ 157.5 | 1.60 62.5% |
| ТБ 158.5 | 1.70 58.8% |
| ТБ 159.5 | 1.94 51.6% |
| ТБ 160.5 | 1.63 61.4% |
| ТБ 161.5 | 1.90 52.6% |
| ТБ 162.5 | 2.35 42.6% |
| ТБ 163.5 | 2.07 48.3% |
| ТБ 164.5 | 2.30 43.5% |
| ТБ 165.5 | 2.30 43.5% |
| ТБ 166.5 | 2.55 39.2% |
| ТБ 167.5 | 1.72 58.1% |
| ТБ 168.5 | 1.87 53.5% |
| ТБ 169.5 | 2.05 48.8% |
| ТБ 170.5 | 2.25 44.4% |
| ТБ 171.5 | 2.20 45.5% |
| ТБ 172.5 | 1.58 63.3% |
| ТБ 173.5 | 1.68 59.5% |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| П1 | 1.08 92.6% |
| П2 | 6.50 15.4% |
Match center
Samara
W
W
L
W
Samara
90:77
Kazan
Samara
97:76
Krasnodar
Samara
97:104
Tyumen
Samara
102:95
Kazan
3
Wins
1
Losses
96.5
Scored
88.0
Conceded
75%
Win percentage
Tyumen
L
W
W
W
Tyumen
76:94
Krasnodar
Tyumen
96:85
Kazan
Tyumen
104:97
Samara
Samara
Tyumen
116:114
Krasnodar
3
Wins
1
Losses
98.0
Scored
97.5
Conceded
75%
Win percentage
Match center
Full head-to-head historySamara - Tyumen
Samara
1
matches total
Samara: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Tyumen: 1 (100%)
Biggest win
Tyumen 97:104 (07.07 16:00 МСК)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
201 goals (97:104, 07.07 16:00 МСК)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
Samara
97:104
Tyumen