Match center
Start
07.07.2026 20:00 MSK
07.07.2026 20:00 MSK
Finished
IPBL
Serov - Smolensk
76
:
84
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Serov - Smolensk 7 июля 2026
Basketball math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Smolensk. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 3.55 / 2 1.25
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner
bookmaker margin 8.2%
1
26.0%
2
74.0%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Serov - Smolensk
Form
1/1
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.25
Fonbet · line only
1
3.55
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 158.5
1.40
Fonbet · line only
Over 159.5
1.55
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| П2 +10.5 | 1.77 56.5% |
| П2 +11.5 | 2.00 50.0% |
| П2 +12.5 | 2.25 44.4% |
| П2 +13.5 | 1.72 58.1% |
| П2 +14.5 | 1.85 54.1% |
| П2 +15.5 | 2.00 50.0% |
| П2 +16.5 | 2.20 45.5% |
| П2 +17.5 | 1.70 58.8% |
| П2 +18.5 | 1.80 55.6% |
| П2 +19.5 | 1.90 52.6% |
| П2 +20.5 | 2.00 50.0% |
| П2 +21.5 | 2.13 47.0% |
| П2 +3.5 | 1.52 65.8% |
| П2 +4.5 | 1.67 59.9% |
| П2 +5.5 | 1.85 54.1% |
| П2 +6.5 | 2.05 48.8% |
| П2 +7.5 | 2.30 43.5% |
| П2 +8.5 | 1.46 68.5% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| ТБ 158.5 | 1.40 71.4% |
| ТБ 159.5 | 1.55 64.5% |
| ТБ 160.5 | 1.72 58.1% |
| ТБ 161.5 | 1.94 51.6% |
| ТБ 162.5 | 2.23 44.8% |
| ТБ 163.5 | 2.55 39.2% |
| ТБ 169.5 | 1.55 64.5% |
| ТБ 170.5 | 1.67 59.9% |
| ТБ 171.5 | 1.80 55.6% |
| ТБ 172.5 | 1.95 51.3% |
| ТБ 173.5 | 2.15 46.5% |
| ТБ 174.5 | 2.35 42.6% |
| ТБ 177.5 | 1.58 63.3% |
| ТБ 178.5 | 1.68 59.5% |
| ТБ 179.5 | 1.80 55.6% |
| ТБ 180.5 | 1.94 51.6% |
| ТБ 181.5 | 2.10 47.6% |
| ТБ 182.5 | 2.30 43.5% |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| П1 | 3.55 28.2% |
| П2 | 1.25 80.0% |
Match center
Serov
L
Serov
91:110
Ryazan
0
Wins
1
Losses
91.0
Scored
110.0
Conceded
0%
Win percentage
Smolensk
L
Smolensk
83:87
Salavat
0
Wins
1
Losses
83.0
Scored
87.0
Conceded
0%
Win percentage
Match center
Full head-to-head historySerov - Smolensk
Serov
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals