Match center
Start
09.07.2026 20:00 MSK
09.07.2026 20:00 MSK
Finished
IPBL
Serov - Smolensk
72
:
79
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Serov - Smolensk 9 июля 2026
Basketball math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Smolensk. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 6.10 / 2 1.09
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner
bookmaker margin 8.1%
1
15.2%
2
84.8%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Serov - Smolensk
Form
4/4
recent games
H2H
1
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.09
Fonbet · line only
1
6.10
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 162.5
1.55
Fonbet · line only
Over 163.5
1.68
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| П1 +10.5 | 2.00 50.0% |
| П1 +11.5 | 1.83 54.6% |
| П1 +12.5 | 1.70 58.8% |
| П2 +10.5 | 1.72 58.1% |
| П2 +11.5 | 1.87 53.5% |
| П2 +12.5 | 2.03 49.3% |
| П2 +13.5 | 2.23 44.8% |
| П2 +14.5 | 1.90 52.6% |
| П2 +15.5 | 2.07 48.3% |
| П2 +16.5 | 2.25 44.4% |
| П2 +2.5 | 1.63 61.4% |
| П2 +3.5 | 1.72 58.1% |
| П2 +4.5 | 1.48 67.6% |
| П2 +5.5 | 1.63 61.4% |
| П2 +6.5 | 1.83 54.6% |
| П2 +7.5 | 2.07 48.3% |
| П2 +8.5 | 2.40 41.7% |
| П2 +9.5 | 2.20 45.5% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| ТБ 162.5 | 1.55 64.5% |
| ТБ 163.5 | 1.68 59.5% |
| ТБ 164.5 | 1.83 54.6% |
| ТБ 165.5 | 2.00 50.0% |
| ТБ 166.5 | 2.20 45.5% |
| ТБ 167.5 | 2.40 41.7% |
| ТБ 168.5 | 1.47 68.0% |
| ТБ 169.5 | 1.63 61.4% |
| ТБ 170.5 | 1.83 54.6% |
| ТБ 171.5 | 2.07 48.3% |
| ТБ 172.5 | 2.35 42.6% |
| ТБ 173.5 | 2.80 35.7% |
| ТБ 174.5 | 1.72 58.1% |
| ТБ 175.5 | 1.83 54.6% |
| ТБ 176.5 | 1.94 51.6% |
| ТБ 177.5 | 2.10 47.6% |
| ТБ 178.5 | 2.25 44.4% |
| ТБ 179.5 | 1.72 58.1% |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| П1 | 6.10 16.4% |
| П2 | 1.09 91.7% |
Match center
Serov
L
L
L
L
Serov
89:94
Ryazan
Serov
97:118
Salavat
Serov
76:84
Smolensk
Serov
91:110
Ryazan
0
Wins
4
Losses
88.3
Scored
101.5
Conceded
0%
Win percentage
Smolensk
W
W
W
L
Smolensk
102:88
Salavat
Smolensk
113:97
Ryazan
Smolensk
84:76
Serov
Smolensk
83:87
Salavat
3
Wins
1
Losses
95.5
Scored
87.0
Conceded
75%
Win percentage
Match center
Full head-to-head historySerov - Smolensk
Serov
1
matches total
Serov: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Smolensk: 1 (100%)
Biggest win
Smolensk 76:84 (07.07 20:00 МСК)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
160 goals (76:84, 07.07 20:00 МСК)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
Serov
76:84
Smolensk