Match center
Start
11.07.2026 20:00 MSK
11.07.2026 20:00 MSK
Finished
IPBL
Serov - Smolensk
101
:
105
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Serov - Smolensk 11 июля 2026
Basketball math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Smolensk. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 3.80 / 2 1.22
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner
bookmaker margin 8.3%
1
24.3%
2
75.7%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Serov - Smolensk
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
2
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.22
Fonbet · line only
1
3.80
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.45
Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5
1.45
Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5
2.55
Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5
2.55
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 189.5
1.60
Fonbet · line only
Over 190.5
1.68
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| П2 +0.5 | 1.45 69.0% |
| П2 +1.5 | 1.63 61.4% |
| П2 +10.5 | 1.95 51.3% |
| П2 +11.5 | 2.10 47.6% |
| П2 +12.5 | 2.13 47.0% |
| П2 +2.5 | 1.57 63.7% |
| П2 +3.5 | 1.85 54.1% |
| П2 +4.5 | 1.87 53.5% |
| П2 +5.5 | 2.00 50.0% |
| П2 +6.5 | 2.15 46.5% |
| П2 -0.5 | 1.45 69.0% |
| П2 -1.5 | 1.63 61.4% |
| П2 -2.5 | 1.93 51.8% |
| П2 -3.5 | 1.83 54.6% |
| П2 -4.5 | 1.75 57.1% |
| П2 -5.5 | 1.65 60.6% |
| П2 -6.5 | 1.80 55.6% |
| П2 -7.5 | 1.70 58.8% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| ТБ 189.5 | 1.60 62.5% |
| ТБ 190.5 | 1.68 59.5% |
| ТБ 191.5 | 1.77 56.5% |
| ТБ 192.5 | 1.87 53.5% |
| ТБ 193.5 | 1.95 51.3% |
| ТБ 194.5 | 2.07 48.3% |
| ТБ 195.5 | 1.67 59.9% |
| ТБ 196.5 | 1.75 57.1% |
| ТБ 197.5 | 1.85 54.1% |
| ТБ 198.5 | 1.48 67.6% |
| ТБ 199.5 | 1.47 68.0% |
| ТБ 200.5 | 1.43 69.9% |
| ТБ 201.5 | 1.57 63.7% |
| ТБ 202.5 | 1.70 58.8% |
| ТБ 203.5 | 1.87 53.5% |
| ТБ 204.5 | 2.07 48.3% |
| ТБ 205.5 | 2.35 42.6% |
| ТБ 206.5 | 1.75 57.1% |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| П1 | 3.80 26.3% |
| П2 | 1.22 82.0% |
Match center
Serov
W
L
L
L
L
Serov
111:102
Salavat
Serov
72:79
Smolensk
Serov
89:94
Ryazan
Serov
97:118
Salavat
Serov
76:84
Smolensk
1
Wins
4
Losses
89.0
Scored
95.4
Conceded
20%
Win percentage
Smolensk
L
W
W
W
W
Smolensk
98:114
Salavat
Smolensk
101:91
Ryazan
Smolensk
79:72
Serov
Smolensk
102:88
Salavat
Smolensk
113:97
Ryazan
4
Wins
1
Losses
98.6
Scored
92.4
Conceded
80%
Win percentage
Match center
Full head-to-head historySerov - Smolensk
Serov
2
matches total
Serov: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Smolensk: 2 (100%)
Biggest win
Smolensk 76:84 (07.07 20:00 МСК)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
160 goals (76:84, 07.07 20:00 МСК)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
Serov
72:79
Smolensk
Serov
76:84
Smolensk